Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC)

$16.36

-0.04 (-0.24%)
Financial Summary
Financial Statements
Quarter Financials
Chart
Financial Ratios
Profile
Historical Data
DCFDCF Levered
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -126.18 | 16.36 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 616.33507.54497156248229.79212.92197.29182.81169.39
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow -212.77-1,543.26-311-175-131-260.20-241.10-223.40-207-191.80
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure ----------
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow ------260.20-241.10-223.40-207-191.80

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 16.36
Beta 1.198
Diluted Shares Outstanding 46.54
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 850.00
After-tax Cost of Debt -21.75%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 9.289
Total Debt 6,447
Total Equity 761.31
Total Capital 7,208.31
Debt Weighting 89.44
Equity Weighting 10.56
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 616.33507.54497156248229.79212.92197.29182.81169.39
Operating Cash Flow -212.77-1,543.26-311-175-131-260.20-241.10-223.40-207-191.80
Capital Expenditure ----------
Free Cash Flow ------260.20-241.10-223.40-207-191.80
WACC
PV LFCF -319.15-362.71-412.22-468.49-532.44
SUM PV LFCF -2,095.03

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) -18.47
Free cash flow (t + 1) -195.64
Terminal Value 955.75
Present Value of Terminal Value 2,653.11

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 558.08
Net Debt 6,430
Equity Value -5,871.92
Shares Outstanding 46.54
Equity Value Per Share -126.18