Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.... (BBVA)

$6.94

-0.11 (-1.56%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 52.47 | 6.94 | undervalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 26,63026,12722,17722,81928,20028,867.5529,550.9030,250.4330,966.5231,699.56
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 8,664-8,21439,349-1,24223,71814,848.9615,200.4615,560.2915,928.6316,305.69
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -1,495-1,380-1,208.19-1,243.16-1,536.32-1,572.68-1,609.91-1,648.02-1,687.03-1,726.97
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 7,169-9,59438,140.81-2,485.1622,181.6813,276.2713,590.5513,912.2614,241.6014,578.72

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 6.94
Beta 1.592
Diluted Shares Outstanding 6,401
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 38.01
After-tax Cost of Debt 3.10%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 11.015
Total Debt 55,429
Total Equity 44,422.94
Total Capital 99,851.94
Debt Weighting 55.51
Equity Weighting 44.49
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 26,63026,12722,17722,81928,20028,867.5529,550.9030,250.4330,966.5231,699.56
Operating Cash Flow 8,664-8,21439,349-1,24223,71814,848.9615,200.4615,560.2915,928.6316,305.69
Capital Expenditure -1,495-1,380-1,208.19-1,243.16-1,536.32-1,572.68-1,609.91-1,648.02-1,687.03-1,726.97
Free Cash Flow 7,169-9,59438,140.81-2,485.1622,181.6813,276.2713,590.5513,912.2614,241.6014,578.72
WACC
PV LFCF 12,451.9511,955.2811,478.4111,020.5710,580.98
SUM PV LFCF 57,487.19

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 6.62
Free cash flow (t + 1) 14,870.30
Terminal Value 321,867.90
Present Value of Terminal Value 233,606.15

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 291,093.34
Net Debt -44,758
Equity Value 335,851.34
Shares Outstanding 6,401
Equity Value Per Share 52.47