Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT)

$17.85

+0.29 (+1.65%)

All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD

Stock DCF: 43.20 | 17.85 | undervalue

Free Cash Flow

Year A/P	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Actual	2021 Actual	2022 Projected	2023 Projected	2024 Projected	2025 Projected	2026 Projected	2027 Projected
Revenue	396.48	424.18	432.18	514.47	562.33	614.65	671.84	734.34	802.66	877.34
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow	290	304.04	336.61	382.48	396.83	451.92	493.96	539.92	590.15	645.06
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow	-	-	-	-	-	451.92	493.96	539.92	590.15	645.06

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price	$ 17.85
Beta	1.391
Diluted Shares Outstanding	170.63
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate	2.13
After-tax Cost of Debt	4.89%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity	10.062
Total Debt	-
Total Equity	3,045.77
Total Capital	3,045.77
Debt Weighting	0.00
Equity Weighting	100.00
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year A/P	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Actual	2021 Actual	2022 Projected	2023 Projected	2024 Projected	2025 Projected	2026 Projected	2027 Projected
Revenue	396.48	424.18	432.18	514.47	562.33	614.65	671.84	734.34	802.66	877.34
Operating Cash Flow	290	304.04	336.61	382.48	396.83	451.92	493.96	539.92	590.15	645.06
Capital Expenditure	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Free Cash Flow	-	-	-	-	-	451.92	493.96	539.92	590.15	645.06
WACC
PV LFCF					-	410.61	407.79	404.99	402.20	399.44
SUM PV LFCF										2,025.02

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%)	10.06
Free cash flow (t + 1)	657.96
Terminal Value	8,163.26
Present Value of Terminal Value	5,054.94

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value	7,079.97
Net Debt	-291.34
Equity Value	7,371.31
Shares Outstanding	170.63
Equity Value Per Share	43.20