Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

CIRCOR International, Inc. (CIR)

$56

+2.75 (+5.16%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -25.74 | 56 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 1,175.83964.31773.27758.67786.92716.17651.78593.17539.84491.30
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 49.7515.91-22.7210.45-0.826.045.5054.554.14
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -23.59-13.85-12.54-14.75-21.99-14.04-12.78-11.63-10.58-9.63
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 26.162.06-35.27-4.30-22.81-8-7.28-6.63-6.03-5.49

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 56
Beta 2.258
Diluted Shares Outstanding 20.43
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 18.08
After-tax Cost of Debt 6.87%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 14.815
Total Debt 535.01
Total Equity 1,143.91
Total Capital 1,678.93
Debt Weighting 31.87
Equity Weighting 68.13
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 1,175.83964.31773.27758.67786.92716.17651.78593.17539.84491.30
Operating Cash Flow 49.7515.91-22.7210.45-0.826.045.5054.554.14
Capital Expenditure -23.59-13.85-12.54-14.75-21.99-14.04-12.78-11.63-10.58-9.63
Free Cash Flow 26.162.06-35.27-4.30-22.81-8-7.28-6.63-6.03-5.49
WACC
PV LFCF -7.13-5.78-4.68-3.80-3.08
SUM PV LFCF -24.46

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 12.28
Free cash flow (t + 1) -5.60
Terminal Value -54.47
Present Value of Terminal Value -30.53

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value -54.99
Net Debt 470.74
Equity Value -525.73
Shares Outstanding 20.43
Equity Value Per Share -25.74