Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

CMS Energy Corporation (CMS)

$53.11

+0.41 (+0.78%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -202.88 | 53.11 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 6,8736,8456,6807,3298,5969,115.749,666.9010,251.3910,871.2211,528.52
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 1,7031,7901,2761,8198551,910.592,026.112,148.612,278.522,416.29
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -2,220-2,236-2,448-2,209-2,481-2,928.27-3,105.32-3,293.07-3,492.18-3,703.33
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow -517-446-1,172-390-1,626-1,017.68-1,079.21-1,144.46-1,213.66-1,287.04

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 53.11
Beta 0.369
Diluted Shares Outstanding 289.50
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 7.21
After-tax Cost of Debt 3.12%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 6.316
Total Debt 15,428
Total Equity 15,375.34
Total Capital 30,803.35
Debt Weighting 50.09
Equity Weighting 49.91
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 6,8736,8456,6807,3298,5969,115.749,666.9010,251.3910,871.2211,528.52
Operating Cash Flow 1,7031,7901,2761,8198551,910.592,026.112,148.612,278.522,416.29
Capital Expenditure -2,220-2,236-2,448-2,209-2,481-2,928.27-3,105.32-3,293.07-3,492.18-3,703.33
Free Cash Flow -517-446-1,172-390-1,626-1,017.68-1,079.21-1,144.46-1,213.66-1,287.04
WACC
PV LFCF -971.90-984.31-996.87-1,009.59-1,022.47
SUM PV LFCF -4,985.14

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 4.71
Free cash flow (t + 1) -1,312.78
Terminal Value -48,442.18
Present Value of Terminal Value -38,484.24

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value -43,469.38
Net Debt 15,264
Equity Value -58,733.38
Shares Outstanding 289.50
Equity Value Per Share -202.88