Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT)

$69.22

+1.13 (+1.66%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 65.26 | 69.22 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Actual
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
2028
Projected
Revenue 710.96670.88723.47769.59784.59805.24826.43848.17870.49893.40
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 110.1888.46123.96177.18170.29145.82149.66153.59157.63161.78
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -6.56-3.20-8.18-3.91-3.24-5.56-5.70-5.85-6.01-6.17
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 103.6285.26115.78173.27167.05140.26143.95147.74151.63155.62

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 69.22
Beta 0.614
Diluted Shares Outstanding 44.66
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate -132.87
After-tax Cost of Debt 3.69%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 7.442
Total Debt 12.78
Total Equity 3,091.64
Total Capital 3,104.42
Debt Weighting 0.41
Equity Weighting 99.59
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Actual
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
2028
Projected
Revenue 710.96670.88723.47769.59784.59805.24826.43848.17870.49893.40
Operating Cash Flow 110.1888.46123.96177.18170.29145.82149.66153.59157.63161.78
Capital Expenditure -6.56-3.20-8.18-3.91-3.24-5.56-5.70-5.85-6.01-6.17
Free Cash Flow 103.6285.26115.78173.27167.05140.26143.95147.74151.63155.62
WACC
PV LFCF 130.56124.73119.16113.83108.75
SUM PV LFCF 597.03

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 7.43
Free cash flow (t + 1) 158.73
Terminal Value 2,923.17
Present Value of Terminal Value 2,042.80

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 2,639.83
Net Debt -275
Equity Value 2,914.83
Shares Outstanding 44.66
Equity Value Per Share 65.26