Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

The Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG)

$87.84

+1.73 (+2.01%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 92.98 | 87.84 | undervalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 1,849.322,040.662,036.522,402.602,627.462,873.643,142.903,437.373,759.444,111.69
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 72.95210.30192.22373.35275.68285.76312.54341.82373.85408.88
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -57.17-54.95-71.54-50.33-69.55-80.68-88.24-96.51-105.55-115.44
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 15.79155.35120.68323.02206.13205.08224.29245.31268.29293.43

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 87.84
Beta 1.019
Diluted Shares Outstanding 56.97
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 24.55
After-tax Cost of Debt 0.41%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 7.659
Total Debt 1,265.34
Total Equity 5,004.33
Total Capital 6,269.67
Debt Weighting 20.18
Equity Weighting 79.82
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 1,849.322,040.662,036.522,402.602,627.462,873.643,142.903,437.373,759.444,111.69
Operating Cash Flow 72.95210.30192.22373.35275.68285.76312.54341.82373.85408.88
Capital Expenditure -57.17-54.95-71.54-50.33-69.55-80.68-88.24-96.51-105.55-115.44
Free Cash Flow 15.79155.35120.68323.02206.13205.08224.29245.31268.29293.43
WACC
PV LFCF 193.11198.87204.80210.92217.21
SUM PV LFCF 1,024.91

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 6.20
Free cash flow (t + 1) 299.30
Terminal Value 7,126.20
Present Value of Terminal Value 5,275.16

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 6,300.07
Net Debt 1,003.14
Equity Value 5,296.93
Shares Outstanding 56.97
Equity Value Per Share 92.98