Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered
First Bancorp (FBNC)
$31.66
+0.25 (+0.80%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 269.26 | 274.79 | 299.47 | 320.01 | 392.84 | 432.76 | 476.74 | 525.19 | 578.57 | 637.36 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow | 46.41 | 51.24 | 57.07 | 138.90 | 230.65 | 135.94 | 149.76 | 164.97 | 181.74 | 200.21 |
Operating Cash Flow (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -10.72 | -3.53 | -12.36 | -9.40 | -5.29 | -11.84 | -13.04 | -14.37 | -15.83 | -17.44 |
Capital Expenditure (%) | ||||||||||
Free Cash Flow | 35.69 | 47.70 | 44.71 | 129.50 | 225.37 | 124.10 | 136.71 | 150.60 | 165.91 | 182.77 |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 31.66 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.067 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 35.67 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 20.67 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 4.16% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 9.255 |
Total Debt | 306.90 |
Total Equity | 1,129.46 |
Total Capital | 1,436.36 |
Debt Weighting | 21.37 |
Equity Weighting | 78.63 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 269.26 | 274.79 | 299.47 | 320.01 | 392.84 | 432.76 | 476.74 | 525.19 | 578.57 | 637.36 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating Cash Flow | 46.41 | 51.24 | 57.07 | 138.90 | 230.65 | 135.94 | 149.76 | 164.97 | 181.74 | 200.21 |
Capital Expenditure | -10.72 | -3.53 | -12.36 | -9.40 | -5.29 | -11.84 | -13.04 | -14.37 | -15.83 | -17.44 |
Free Cash Flow | 35.69 | 47.70 | 44.71 | 129.50 | 225.37 | 124.10 | 136.71 | 150.60 | 165.91 | 182.77 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV LFCF | 114.73 | 116.84 | 118.99 | 121.18 | 123.42 | |||||
SUM PV LFCF | 595.16 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 8.17 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 186.43 |
Terminal Value | 3,021.50 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 2,040.27 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 2,635.43 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 36.58 |
Equity Value | 2,598.85 |
Shares Outstanding | 35.67 |
Equity Value Per Share | 72.85 |