Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Forterra, Inc. (FRTA)

$24

0.00 (0.00%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -1.53 | 24 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 1,580.411,479.711,529.751,594.511,858.301,940.932,027.242,117.392,211.542,309.88
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 42.3327.20146.79243.20100.50134.98140.98147.25153.80160.64
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -52.51-50.61-53.71-34.02-65.60-61.79-64.54-67.41-70.40-73.54
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow -10.18-23.4193.08209.1834.9073.1976.4579.8583.4087.10

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 24
Beta 2.192
Diluted Shares Outstanding 69.64
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 24.97
After-tax Cost of Debt 5.19%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 14.084
Total Debt 1,084.50
Total Equity 1,671.46
Total Capital 2,755.96
Debt Weighting 39.35
Equity Weighting 60.65
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 1,580.411,479.711,529.751,594.511,858.301,940.932,027.242,117.392,211.542,309.88
Operating Cash Flow 42.3327.20146.79243.20100.50134.98140.98147.25153.80160.64
Capital Expenditure -52.51-50.61-53.71-34.02-65.60-61.79-64.54-67.41-70.40-73.54
Free Cash Flow -10.18-23.4193.08209.1834.9073.1976.4579.8583.4087.10
WACC
PV LFCF 66.1862.5159.0355.7552.66
SUM PV LFCF 296.14

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 10.59
Free cash flow (t + 1) 88.85
Terminal Value 1,034.30
Present Value of Terminal Value 625.27

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 921.41
Net Debt 1,027.70
Equity Value -106.29
Shares Outstanding 69.64
Equity Value Per Share -1.53