Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

FS Bancorp, Inc. (FSBW)

$30.9

+0.73 (+2.42%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 222.77 | 30.9 | undervalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
2028
Projected
Revenue 90.27127.41121.36119.67133.63149.23166.64186.08207.79232.04
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 9.18-32.32109.01184.9076.5585.4895.46106.59119.03132.92
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -2.46-1.38-1.98-1.55-2.25-2.52-2.81-3.14-3.50-3.91
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 6.71-33.70107.03183.3574.3082.9792.65103.46115.53129.01

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 30.9
Beta 1.019
Diluted Shares Outstanding 8.09
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 19.84
After-tax Cost of Debt 4.01%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 8.508
Total Debt 7.65
Total Equity 250.05
Total Capital 257.70
Debt Weighting 2.97
Equity Weighting 97.03
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
2028
Projected
Revenue 90.27127.41121.36119.67133.63149.23166.64186.08207.79232.04
Operating Cash Flow 9.18-32.32109.01184.9076.5585.4895.46106.59119.03132.92
Capital Expenditure -2.46-1.38-1.98-1.55-2.25-2.52-2.81-3.14-3.50-3.91
Free Cash Flow 6.71-33.70107.03183.3574.3082.9792.65103.46115.53129.01
WACC
PV LFCF 74.3076.5678.8981.2983.7686.31
SUM PV LFCF 406.81

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 8.37
Free cash flow (t + 1) 131.59
Terminal Value 2,065.75
Present Value of Terminal Value 1,382.08

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 1,788.89
Net Debt -13.83
Equity Value 1,802.72
Shares Outstanding 8.09
Equity Value Per Share 222.77