Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered
Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (FSM)
$3.55
+0.03 (+0.85%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
Revenue | 268.11 | 263.30 | 257.19 | 278.97 | 599.85 | 778.88 | 1,011.33 | 1,313.16 | 1,705.08 | 2,213.95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow | 70.20 | 83.46 | 63.01 | 93.39 | 147.14 | 218.68 | 283.95 | 368.69 | 478.72 | 621.60 |
Operating Cash Flow (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -47.06 | -97.90 | -224.13 | -114.33 | -152.29 | -324.40 | -421.22 | -546.94 | -710.17 | -922.12 |
Capital Expenditure (%) | ||||||||||
Free Cash Flow | 23.14 | -14.44 | -161.13 | -20.94 | -5.15 | -105.72 | -137.28 | -178.25 | -231.44 | -300.52 |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 3.55 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.246 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 249.44 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 46.00 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 4.06% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 9.583 |
Total Debt | 186.89 |
Total Equity | 885.52 |
Total Capital | 1,072.42 |
Debt Weighting | 17.43 |
Equity Weighting | 82.57 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
Revenue | 268.11 | 263.30 | 257.19 | 278.97 | 599.85 | 778.88 | 1,011.33 | 1,313.16 | 1,705.08 | 2,213.95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating Cash Flow | 70.20 | 83.46 | 63.01 | 93.39 | 147.14 | 218.68 | 283.95 | 368.69 | 478.72 | 621.60 |
Capital Expenditure | -47.06 | -97.90 | -224.13 | -114.33 | -152.29 | -324.40 | -421.22 | -546.94 | -710.17 | -922.12 |
Free Cash Flow | 23.14 | -14.44 | -161.13 | -20.94 | -5.15 | -105.72 | -137.28 | -178.25 | -231.44 | -300.52 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV LFCF | -97.33 | -116.35 | -139.09 | -166.27 | -198.76 | |||||
SUM PV LFCF | -717.80 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 8.62 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | -306.53 |
Terminal Value | -4,630.33 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | -3,062.41 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | -3,780.20 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 79.80 |
Equity Value | -3,860 |
Shares Outstanding | 249.44 |
Equity Value Per Share | -15.47 |