Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

GWG Holdings, Inc. (GWGH)

$2.89

0.00 (0.00%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -31,455,006,764.27 | 2.89 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2016
Actual
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Projected
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
Revenue 68.5563.58-0.3992.28124.37-7,280.66426,209.02-24,950,224.781,460,583,168.90-85,502,363,700.36
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow -66.01-83.81-95.48-142.83-182.40-348,510.7520,401,777.25-1,194,317,595.9069,915,208,960.65-4,092,827,955,316.12
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -----3.28192.07-11,243.72658,205.89-38,531,294.042,255,617,336.21
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow -66.01-83.81-95.48-142.83-185.68-348,318.6820,390,533.54-1,193,659,39069,876,677,666.61-4,090,572,337,979.91

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 2.89
Beta -0.173
Diluted Shares Outstanding 28.06
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 4.03
After-tax Cost of Debt 96.93%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 3.445
Total Debt 153.09
Total Equity 81.10
Total Capital 234.19
Debt Weighting 65.37
Equity Weighting 34.63
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2016
Actual
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Projected
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
Revenue 68.5563.58-0.3992.28124.37-7,280.66426,209.02-24,950,224.781,460,583,168.90-85,502,363,700.36
Operating Cash Flow -66.01-83.81-95.48-142.83-182.40-348,510.7520,401,777.25-1,194,317,595.9069,915,208,960.65-4,092,827,955,316.12
Capital Expenditure -----3.28192.07-11,243.72658,205.89-38,531,294.042,255,617,336.21
Free Cash Flow -66.01-83.81-95.48-142.83-185.68-348,318.6820,390,533.54-1,193,659,39069,876,677,666.61-4,090,572,337,979.91
WACC
PV LFCF -211,679.547,530,656.12-267,908,664.169,531,048,981.52-339,074,120,551.83
SUM PV LFCF -329,803,661,257.88

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 64.55
Free cash flow (t + 1) -4,172,383,784,739.50
Terminal Value -6,670,477,673,444.45
Present Value of Terminal Value -552,926,623,441.83

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value -882,730,284,699.72
Net Debt 67.84
Equity Value -882,730,284,767.56
Shares Outstanding 28.06
Equity Value Per Share -31,455,006,764.27