Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Methanex Corporation (MEOH)

$45.77

+0.89 (+1.98%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 102.95 | 45.77 | undervalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 3,931.852,784.492,649.964,414.564,311.194,637.064,987.575,364.585,770.086,206.23
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 980.21515.43461.08993.93977.76983.381,057.711,137.661,223.651,316.15
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -244.48-323.86-341.82-245.44-577.38-460.92-495.76-533.24-573.54-616.90
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 735.73191.57119.27748.49400.38522.45561.95604.42650.11699.25

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 45.77
Beta 2.003
Diluted Shares Outstanding 71.68
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 39.22
After-tax Cost of Debt 2.64%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 14.053
Total Debt 3,021.68
Total Equity 3,280.68
Total Capital 6,302.35
Debt Weighting 47.95
Equity Weighting 52.05
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 3,931.852,784.492,649.964,414.564,311.194,637.064,987.575,364.585,770.086,206.23
Operating Cash Flow 980.21515.43461.08993.93977.76983.381,057.711,137.661,223.651,316.15
Capital Expenditure -244.48-323.86-341.82-245.44-577.38-460.92-495.76-533.24-573.54-616.90
Free Cash Flow 735.73191.57119.27748.49400.38522.45561.95604.42650.11699.25
WACC
PV LFCF 481.17476.64472.16467.72463.32
SUM PV LFCF 2,361.02

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 8.58
Free cash flow (t + 1) 713.24
Terminal Value 10,839.45
Present Value of Terminal Value 7,182.21

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 9,543.23
Net Debt 2,163.93
Equity Value 7,379.31
Shares Outstanding 71.68
Equity Value Per Share 102.95