Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered
Morningstar, Inc. (MORN)
$183.71
+0.07 (+0.04%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 1,019.90 | 1,179 | 1,389.50 | 1,699.30 | 1,870.60 | 2,178.45 | 2,536.97 | 2,954.50 | 3,440.73 | 4,006.99 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow | 314.80 | 334.40 | 384.30 | 449.90 | 297.80 | 563.27 | 655.97 | 763.93 | 889.65 | 1,036.06 |
Operating Cash Flow (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -76.10 | -80 | -76.70 | -101.80 | -129.50 | -142.39 | -165.82 | -193.11 | -224.89 | -261.90 |
Capital Expenditure (%) | ||||||||||
Free Cash Flow | 238.70 | 254.40 | 307.60 | 348.10 | 168.30 | 420.88 | 490.15 | 570.82 | 664.76 | 774.16 |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 183.71 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.194 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 42.90 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 46.02 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 1.16% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 9.117 |
Total Debt | 1,323.60 |
Total Equity | 7,881.16 |
Total Capital | 9,204.76 |
Debt Weighting | 14.38 |
Equity Weighting | 85.62 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 1,019.90 | 1,179 | 1,389.50 | 1,699.30 | 1,870.60 | 2,178.45 | 2,536.97 | 2,954.50 | 3,440.73 | 4,006.99 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating Cash Flow | 314.80 | 334.40 | 384.30 | 449.90 | 297.80 | 563.27 | 655.97 | 763.93 | 889.65 | 1,036.06 |
Capital Expenditure | -76.10 | -80 | -76.70 | -101.80 | -129.50 | -142.39 | -165.82 | -193.11 | -224.89 | -261.90 |
Free Cash Flow | 238.70 | 254.40 | 307.60 | 348.10 | 168.30 | 420.88 | 490.15 | 570.82 | 664.76 | 774.16 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV LFCF | 389.81 | 420.46 | 453.51 | 489.16 | 527.61 | |||||
SUM PV LFCF | 2,280.56 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 7.97 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 789.65 |
Terminal Value | 13,226.89 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 9,014.51 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 11,295.07 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 947 |
Equity Value | 10,348.07 |
Shares Outstanding | 42.90 |
Equity Value Per Share | 241.21 |