Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

NetScout Systems, Inc. (NTCT)

$28.2

+0.42 (+1.51%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 56.71 | 28.2 | undervalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 986.79909.92891.82831.28855.58826.39798.20770.97744.67719.27
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 222.45149.84225.02213.92296.01205.89198.87192.09185.53179.21
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -16.59-23.53-19.92-16.52-10.40-16.04-15.49-14.96-14.45-13.96
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 205.86126.31205.10197.40285.61189.86183.38177.12171.08165.25

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 28.2
Beta 0.702
Diluted Shares Outstanding 75.08
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 16.36
After-tax Cost of Debt 1.62%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 6.691
Total Debt 415.34
Total Equity 2,117.37
Total Capital 2,532.71
Debt Weighting 16.40
Equity Weighting 83.60
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 986.79909.92891.82831.28855.58826.39798.20770.97744.67719.27
Operating Cash Flow 222.45149.84225.02213.92296.01205.89198.87192.09185.53179.21
Capital Expenditure -16.59-23.53-19.92-16.52-10.40-16.04-15.49-14.96-14.45-13.96
Free Cash Flow 205.86126.31205.10197.40285.61189.86183.38177.12171.08165.25
WACC
PV LFCF 179.35163.64149.31136.23124.30
SUM PV LFCF 752.82

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 5.86
Free cash flow (t + 1) 168.55
Terminal Value 4,366.60
Present Value of Terminal Value 3,284.61

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 4,037.43
Net Debt -220.82
Equity Value 4,258.25
Shares Outstanding 75.08
Equity Value Per Share 56.71