Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Potbelly Corporation (PBPB)

$7.65

-0.05 (-0.65%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -13.04 | 7.65 | overvalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 428.11422.64409.71291.28380.05377.42374.81372.22369.64367.09
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow 41.8230.9918.17-11.61-4.8712.2812.1912.1112.0311.94
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -34.68-21.40-14.36-10.92-9.05-17.21-17.09-16.97-16.86-16.74
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow 7.149.593.80-22.53-13.92-4.93-4.90-4.86-4.83-4.80

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 7.65
Beta 1.180
Diluted Shares Outstanding 27.64
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate -1.42
After-tax Cost of Debt 0.45%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 9.204
Total Debt 214.69
Total Equity 211.45
Total Capital 426.13
Debt Weighting 50.38
Equity Weighting 49.62
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 428.11422.64409.71291.28380.05377.42374.81372.22369.64367.09
Operating Cash Flow 41.8230.9918.17-11.61-4.8712.2812.1912.1112.0311.94
Capital Expenditure -34.68-21.40-14.36-10.92-9.05-17.21-17.09-16.97-16.86-16.74
Free Cash Flow 7.149.593.80-22.53-13.92-4.93-4.90-4.86-4.83-4.80
WACC
PV LFCF -3.72-3.53-3.34-3.17-3
SUM PV LFCF -21.19

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 4.79
Free cash flow (t + 1) -4.89
Terminal Value -175.34
Present Value of Terminal Value -138.77

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value -159.96
Net Debt 200.34
Equity Value -360.30
Shares Outstanding 27.64
Equity Value Per Share -13.04