Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered
Transocean Ltd. (RIG)
$8.38
+0.24 (+2.95%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 3,018 | 3,088 | 3,152 | 2,556 | 2,575 | 2,486.33 | 2,400.72 | 2,318.06 | 2,238.24 | 2,161.17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow | 558 | 340 | 398 | 575 | 448 | 407.86 | 393.82 | 380.26 | 367.16 | 354.52 |
Operating Cash Flow (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -184 | -387 | -265 | -208 | -717 | -313.37 | -302.58 | -292.16 | -282.10 | -272.39 |
Capital Expenditure (%) | ||||||||||
Free Cash Flow | 374 | -47 | 133 | 367 | -269 | 94.49 | 91.24 | 88.09 | 85.06 | 82.13 |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 8.38 |
---|---|
Beta | 2.968 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 637 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | -10.50 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 7.64% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 18.553 |
Total Debt | 7,347 |
Total Equity | 5,338.06 |
Total Capital | 12,685.06 |
Debt Weighting | 57.92 |
Equity Weighting | 42.08 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 3,018 | 3,088 | 3,152 | 2,556 | 2,575 | 2,486.33 | 2,400.72 | 2,318.06 | 2,238.24 | 2,161.17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating Cash Flow | 558 | 340 | 398 | 575 | 448 | 407.86 | 393.82 | 380.26 | 367.16 | 354.52 |
Capital Expenditure | -184 | -387 | -265 | -208 | -717 | -313.37 | -302.58 | -292.16 | -282.10 | -272.39 |
Free Cash Flow | 374 | -47 | 133 | 367 | -269 | 94.49 | 91.24 | 88.09 | 85.06 | 82.13 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV LFCF | 75.02 | 64.54 | 55.53 | 47.77 | 41.10 | |||||
SUM PV LFCF | 318.69 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 12.23 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 83.77 |
Terminal Value | 818.90 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 459.93 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 778.62 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 6,664 |
Equity Value | -5,885.38 |
Shares Outstanding | 637 |
Equity Value Per Share | -9.24 |