Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered
Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX)
$61.64
+0.04 (+0.06%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 11,184 | 10,390 | 10,509 | 10,681 | 11,661 | 11,802.62 | 11,945.95 | 12,091.03 | 12,237.87 | 12,386.49 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow | 2,113 | 1,761 | 1,714 | 1,626 | 1,657 | 1,925.83 | 1,949.22 | 1,972.89 | 1,996.85 | 2,021.10 |
Operating Cash Flow (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -366 | -602 | -585 | -498 | -381 | -532.61 | -539.07 | -545.62 | -552.25 | -558.95 |
Capital Expenditure (%) | ||||||||||
Free Cash Flow | 1,747 | 1,159 | 1,129 | 1,128 | 1,276 | 1,393.23 | 1,410.15 | 1,427.27 | 1,444.60 | 1,462.15 |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 61.64 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.096 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 224 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 1.79 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 4.29% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 8.552 |
Total Debt | 5,696 |
Total Equity | 13,807.36 |
Total Capital | 19,503.36 |
Debt Weighting | 29.21 |
Equity Weighting | 70.79 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash Flow
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 11,184 | 10,390 | 10,509 | 10,681 | 11,661 | 11,802.62 | 11,945.95 | 12,091.03 | 12,237.87 | 12,386.49 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating Cash Flow | 2,113 | 1,761 | 1,714 | 1,626 | 1,657 | 1,925.83 | 1,949.22 | 1,972.89 | 1,996.85 | 2,021.10 |
Capital Expenditure | -366 | -602 | -585 | -498 | -381 | -532.61 | -539.07 | -545.62 | -552.25 | -558.95 |
Free Cash Flow | 1,747 | 1,159 | 1,129 | 1,128 | 1,276 | 1,393.23 | 1,410.15 | 1,427.27 | 1,444.60 | 1,462.15 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV LFCF | 1,209.88 | 1,141.15 | 1,076.33 | 1,015.19 | 957.53 | |||||
SUM PV LFCF | 5,794.82 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 7.31 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 1,491.39 |
Terminal Value | 28,086.47 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 19,737.69 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 25,532.51 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 5,081 |
Equity Value | 20,451.51 |
Shares Outstanding | 224 |
Equity Value Per Share | 91.30 |