Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Grupo Supervielle S.A. (SUPV)

$2.1

-0.16 (-7.08%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 335.66 | 2.1 | undervalue

Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 14,264.7127,953.8940,523.7053,191.6270,324.47106,260.59160,560.23242,607.24366,580.63553,905
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow -3,985.96-2,407.3022,491.518,484.1916,647.5525,154.5238,008.5957,431.1686,778.74
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure -175.84-1,263.76-1,113.87-4,724.07-5,023.01-5,212.32-7,875.84-11,900.43-17,981.60-27,170.28
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow -175.842,722.20-3,521.1717,767.443,461.1911,435.2317,278.6826,108.1739,449.5659,608.46

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 2.1
Beta 1.856
Diluted Shares Outstanding 91.34
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate -19.09
After-tax Cost of Debt 2,502.56%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 12.154
Total Debt 2,417.51
Total Equity 191.82
Total Capital 2,609.33
Debt Weighting 92.65
Equity Weighting 7.35
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year
A/P
2017
Actual
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
Revenue 14,264.7127,953.8940,523.7053,191.6270,324.47106,260.59160,560.23242,607.24366,580.63553,905
Operating Cash Flow -3,985.96-2,407.3022,491.518,484.1916,647.5525,154.5238,008.5957,431.1686,778.74
Capital Expenditure -175.84-1,263.76-1,113.87-4,724.07-5,023.01-5,212.32-7,875.84-11,900.43-17,981.60-27,170.28
Free Cash Flow -175.842,722.20-3,521.1717,767.443,461.1911,435.2317,278.6826,108.1739,449.5659,608.46
WACC
PV LFCF 00000
SUM PV LFCF 504.11

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 2,319.48
Free cash flow (t + 1) 60,800.63
Terminal Value 2,623.57
Present Value of Terminal Value 0

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 504.11
Net Debt -30,156.61
Equity Value 30,660.73
Shares Outstanding 91.34
Equity Value Per Share 335.66