Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Levered

Verra Mobility Corporation (VRRM)

$19.87

+0.04 (+0.20%)

All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD

Stock DCF: 22.43 | 19.87 | undervalue

Free Cash Flow

Year A/P	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Actual	2021 Actual	2022 Actual	2023 Projected	2024 Projected	2025 Projected	2026 Projected	2027 Projected
Revenue	370.15	448.74	393.59	550.59	741.60	896.45	1,083.64	1,309.91	1,583.43	1,914.06
Revenue (%)
Operating Cash Flow	46.02	133.80	46.91	193.17	218.34	212.81	257.24	310.96	375.89	454.37
Operating Cash Flow (%)
Capital Expenditure	-26.58	-29.68	-24.26	-25	-48.19	-55.57	-67.18	-81.21	-98.16	-118.66
Capital Expenditure (%)
Free Cash Flow	19.44	104.12	22.65	168.17	170.15	157.23	190.06	229.75	277.72	335.71

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price	$ 19.87
Beta	1.167
Diluted Shares Outstanding	159.03
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate	27.25
After-tax Cost of Debt	4.05%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity	9.727
Total Debt	1,245.34
Total Equity	3,159.85
Total Capital	4,405.19
Debt Weighting	28.27
Equity Weighting	71.73
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year A/P	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Actual	2021 Actual	2022 Actual	2023 Projected	2024 Projected	2025 Projected	2026 Projected	2027 Projected
Revenue	370.15	448.74	393.59	550.59	741.60	896.45	1,083.64	1,309.91	1,583.43	1,914.06
Operating Cash Flow	46.02	133.80	46.91	193.17	218.34	212.81	257.24	310.96	375.89	454.37
Capital Expenditure	-26.58	-29.68	-24.26	-25	-48.19	-55.57	-67.18	-81.21	-98.16	-118.66
Free Cash Flow	19.44	104.12	22.65	168.17	170.15	157.23	190.06	229.75	277.72	335.71
WACC
PV LFCF						124.40	139.08	155.50	173.85	194.37
SUM PV LFCF										920.23

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%)	8.12
Free cash flow (t + 1)	342.43
Terminal Value	5,595.24
Present Value of Terminal Value	3,786.94

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value	4,707.17
Net Debt	1,140.14
Equity Value	3,567.03
Shares Outstanding	159.03
Equity Value Per Share	22.43