Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Agiliti, Inc. (AGTI)
$7.42
-0.31 (-4.01%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 565.25 | 613.07 | 773.31 | 1,038.69 | 1,121.29 | 1,336.77 | 1,593.66 | 1,899.91 | 2,265.01 | 2,700.28 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 139.63 | 166.95 | 209.25 | 296.28 | 259.85 | 349.41 | 416.56 | 496.61 | 592.04 | 705.81 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 60.20 | 2.10 | 36.06 | 104.23 | 80.07 | 87.78 | 104.64 | 124.75 | 148.73 | 177.31 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 79.43 | 164.84 | 173.20 | 192.05 | 179.78 | 261.63 | 311.91 | 371.85 | 443.31 | 528.50 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 7.34 | -31.26 | 206.50 | 74.33 | 5.58 | 81.69 | 97.39 | 116.11 | 138.42 | 165.02 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 105.25 | 106.37 | 154.63 | 209.31 | 207.75 | 253.04 | 301.67 | 359.64 | 428.75 | 511.14 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 11.12 | 13.41 | 27.06 | 55.31 | 70.13 | 51.42 | 61.31 | 73.09 | 87.13 | 103.88 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 37.64 | 39.20 | 37.21 | 53.85 | 59.16 | 75.73 | 90.29 | 107.64 | 128.32 | 152.98 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -54.18 | -55.74 | -59.27 | -66.50 | -87.48 | -108.40 | -129.23 | -154.06 | -183.67 | -218.96 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 7.42 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.388 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 138.38 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | -3.43 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 4.25% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 10.806 |
Total Debt | 1,185.98 |
Total Equity | 1,026.79 |
Total Capital | 2,212.77 |
Debt Weighting | 53.60 |
Equity Weighting | 46.40 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 565.25 | 613.07 | 773.31 | 1,038.69 | 1,121.29 | 1,336.77 | 1,593.66 | 1,899.91 | 2,265.01 | 2,700.28 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 139.63 | 166.95 | 209.25 | 296.28 | 259.85 | 349.41 | 416.56 | 496.61 | 592.04 | 705.81 |
EBIT | 60.20 | 2.10 | 36.06 | 104.23 | 80.07 | 87.78 | 104.64 | 124.75 | 148.73 | 177.31 |
Tax Rate | 67.44% | 32.23% | 12.70% | 40.87% | -3.43% | 29.96% | 29.96% | 29.96% | 29.96% | 29.96% |
EBIAT | 19.60 | 1.43 | 31.48 | 61.63 | 82.81 | 61.48 | 73.29 | 87.38 | 104.17 | 124.18 |
Depreciation | 79.43 | 164.84 | 173.20 | 192.05 | 179.78 | 261.63 | 311.91 | 371.85 | 443.31 | 528.50 |
Accounts Receivable | - | -1.12 | -48.25 | -54.68 | 1.55 | -45.29 | -48.63 | -57.97 | -69.11 | -82.39 |
Inventories | - | -2.29 | -13.65 | -28.25 | -14.83 | 18.71 | -9.88 | -11.78 | -14.05 | -16.74 |
Accounts Payable | - | 1.56 | -1.99 | 16.64 | 5.31 | 16.57 | 14.55 | 17.35 | 20.68 | 24.66 |
Capital Expenditure | -54.17 | -55.74 | -59.27 | -66.50 | -87.48 | -108.40 | -129.23 | -154.06 | -183.67 | -218.96 |
UFCF | 44.86 | 108.68 | 81.52 | 120.88 | 167.15 | 204.70 | 212.02 | 252.76 | 301.34 | 359.24 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 190.78 | 184.15 | 204.60 | 227.33 | 252.58 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 1,059.44 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 7.30 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 366.43 |
Terminal Value | 6,913.77 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 4,860.89 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 5,920.33 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 1,180.41 |
Equity Value | 4,739.92 |
Shares Outstanding | 138.38 |
Equity Value Per Share | 34.25 |