Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered

Agiliti, Inc. (AGTI)

$7.42

-0.31 (-4.01%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 34.25 | 7.42 | undervalue

Operating Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 565.25613.07773.311,038.691,121.291,336.771,593.661,899.912,265.012,700.28
Revenue (%)
EBITDA 139.63166.95209.25296.28259.85349.41416.56496.61592.04705.81
EBITDA (%)
EBIT 60.202.1036.06104.2380.0787.78104.64124.75148.73177.31
EBIT (%)
Depreciation 79.43164.84173.20192.05179.78261.63311.91371.85443.31528.50
Depreciation (%)

Balance Sheet Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Total Cash 7.34-31.26206.5074.335.5881.6997.39116.11138.42165.02
Total Cash (%)
Account Receivables 105.25106.37154.63209.31207.75253.04301.67359.64428.75511.14
Account Receivables (%)
Inventories 11.1213.4127.0655.3170.1351.4261.3173.0987.13103.88
Inventories (%)
Accounts Payable 37.6439.2037.2153.8559.1675.7390.29107.64128.32152.98
Accounts Payable (%)
Capital Expenditure -54.18-55.74-59.27-66.50-87.48-108.40-129.23-154.06-183.67-218.96
Capital Expenditure (%)

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 7.42
Beta 1.388
Diluted Shares Outstanding 138.38
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate -3.43
After-tax Cost of Debt 4.25%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 10.806
Total Debt 1,185.98
Total Equity 1,026.79
Total Capital 2,212.77
Debt Weighting 53.60
Equity Weighting 46.40
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 565.25613.07773.311,038.691,121.291,336.771,593.661,899.912,265.012,700.28
EBITDA 139.63166.95209.25296.28259.85349.41416.56496.61592.04705.81
EBIT 60.202.1036.06104.2380.0787.78104.64124.75148.73177.31
Tax Rate 67.44%32.23%12.70%40.87%-3.43%29.96%29.96%29.96%29.96%29.96%
EBIAT 19.601.4331.4861.6382.8161.4873.2987.38104.17124.18
Depreciation 79.43164.84173.20192.05179.78261.63311.91371.85443.31528.50
Accounts Receivable --1.12-48.25-54.681.55-45.29-48.63-57.97-69.11-82.39
Inventories --2.29-13.65-28.25-14.8318.71-9.88-11.78-14.05-16.74
Accounts Payable -1.56-1.9916.645.3116.5714.5517.3520.6824.66
Capital Expenditure -54.17-55.74-59.27-66.50-87.48-108.40-129.23-154.06-183.67-218.96
UFCF 44.86108.6881.52120.88167.15204.70212.02252.76301.34359.24
WACC
PV UFCF 190.78184.15204.60227.33252.58
SUM PV UFCF 1,059.44

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 7.30
Free cash flow (t + 1) 366.43
Terminal Value 6,913.77
Present Value of Terminal Value 4,860.89

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 5,920.33
Net Debt 1,180.41
Equity Value 4,739.92
Shares Outstanding 138.38
Equity Value Per Share 34.25