Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Broadcom Inc. (AVGO)
$590.99
-7.59 (-1.27%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 20,848 | 22,597 | 23,888 | 27,450 | 33,203 | 37,351.03 | 42,017.28 | 47,266.48 | 53,171.46 | 59,814.14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 8,884 | 9,466 | 11,124 | 14,691 | 19,155 | 18,098.87 | 20,359.95 | 22,903.51 | 25,764.84 | 28,983.63 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 4,803 | 3,658 | 4,219 | 8,650 | 14,171 | 9,791.91 | 11,015.21 | 12,391.33 | 13,939.37 | 15,680.81 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 4,081 | 5,808 | 6,905 | 6,041 | 4,984 | 8,306.96 | 9,344.75 | 10,512.18 | 11,825.46 | 13,302.81 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 4,292 | 5,055 | 7,618 | 12,163 | 12,416 | 11,694.73 | 13,155.75 | 14,799.29 | 16,648.16 | 18,728.01 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 3,390 | 3,259 | 2,297 | 2,071 | 2,958 | 4,239.49 | 4,769.13 | 5,364.93 | 6,035.17 | 6,789.14 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 1,124 | 874 | 1,003 | 1,297 | 1,925 | 1,791.40 | 2,015.20 | 2,266.95 | 2,550.16 | 2,868.75 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 811 | 855 | 836 | 1,086 | 998 | 1,354.76 | 1,524 | 1,714.40 | 1,928.58 | 2,169.51 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -635 | -432 | -463 | -443 | -424 | -731.08 | -822.42 | -925.16 | -1,040.74 | -1,170.76 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 590.99 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.131 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 423 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 7.55 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 4.07% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 8.855 |
Total Debt | 39,515 |
Total Equity | 249,988.77 |
Total Capital | 289,503.77 |
Debt Weighting | 13.65 |
Equity Weighting | 86.35 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 20,848 | 22,597 | 23,888 | 27,450 | 33,203 | 37,351.03 | 42,017.28 | 47,266.48 | 53,171.46 | 59,814.14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 8,884 | 9,466 | 11,124 | 14,691 | 19,155 | 18,098.87 | 20,359.95 | 22,903.51 | 25,764.84 | 28,983.63 |
EBIT | 4,803 | 3,658 | 4,219 | 8,650 | 14,171 | 9,791.91 | 11,015.21 | 12,391.33 | 13,939.37 | 15,680.81 |
Tax Rate | -169.72% | -22.37% | -21.16% | 0.43% | 7.55% | -41.06% | -41.06% | -41.06% | -41.06% | -41.06% |
EBIAT | 12,954.89 | 4,476.37 | 5,111.85 | 8,612.92 | 13,100.82 | 13,812.05 | 15,537.58 | 17,478.69 | 19,662.29 | 22,118.69 |
Depreciation | 4,081 | 5,808 | 6,905 | 6,041 | 4,984 | 8,306.96 | 9,344.75 | 10,512.18 | 11,825.46 | 13,302.81 |
Accounts Receivable | - | 131 | 962 | 226 | -887 | -1,281.49 | -529.64 | -595.80 | -670.24 | -753.97 |
Inventories | - | 250 | -129 | -294 | -628 | 133.60 | -223.80 | -251.76 | -283.21 | -318.59 |
Accounts Payable | - | 44 | -19 | 250 | -88 | 356.76 | 169.25 | 190.39 | 214.18 | 240.94 |
Capital Expenditure | -635 | -432 | -463 | -443 | -424 | -731.08 | -822.42 | -925.16 | -1,040.74 | -1,170.76 |
UFCF | 16,400.89 | 10,277.37 | 12,367.85 | 14,392.92 | 16,057.82 | 20,596.80 | 23,475.73 | 26,408.54 | 29,707.75 | 33,419.12 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 19,035.86 | 20,052.32 | 20,847.91 | 21,675.08 | 22,535.06 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 104,146.22 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 8.20 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 34,087.50 |
Terminal Value | 549,798.41 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 370,738.06 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 474,884.29 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 27,099 |
Equity Value | 447,785.29 |
Shares Outstanding | 423 |
Equity Value Per Share | 1,058.59 |