Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Banco Bradesco S.A. (BBDO)
$2.77
+0.06 (+2.05%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 88,790.75 | 99,281.02 | 82,368.59 | 102,428.58 | 109,001.11 | 115,963.64 | 123,370.91 | 131,251.33 | 139,635.11 | 148,554.42 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 79,330.42 | 77,714.65 | 58,374.91 | 93,538.11 | 160,950.92 | 110,739.10 | 117,812.65 | 125,338.03 | 133,344.10 | 141,861.56 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 74,522.16 | 71,848.88 | 52,453.88 | 87,765.21 | 155,287.70 | 103,933.53 | 110,572.37 | 117,635.27 | 125,149.32 | 133,143.33 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 4,808.26 | 5,865.77 | 5,921.03 | 5,772.90 | 5,663.22 | 6,805.57 | 7,240.28 | 7,702.76 | 8,194.78 | 8,718.23 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 285,260.28 | 320,756.11 | 311,934.07 | 321,937.22 | 358,572.13 | 386,465.69 | 411,151.49 | 437,414.12 | 465,354.30 | 495,079.18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 17,654.37 | 23,916.28 | 23,792.81 | 22,458.25 | 25,765.87 | 27,465.37 | 29,219.74 | 31,086.17 | 33,071.83 | 35,184.32 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -5,442.59 | -5,325.50 | -4,264.52 | -4,410.11 | -9,412.24 | -6,867.75 | -7,306.43 | -7,773.14 | -8,269.65 | -8,797.88 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 2.77 |
---|---|
Beta | 0.595 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 10,677.19 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 13.33 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 32.59% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 6.619 |
Total Debt | 349,226.77 |
Total Equity | 29,575.83 |
Total Capital | 378,802.60 |
Debt Weighting | 92.19 |
Equity Weighting | 7.81 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 88,790.75 | 99,281.02 | 82,368.59 | 102,428.58 | 109,001.11 | 115,963.64 | 123,370.91 | 131,251.33 | 139,635.11 | 148,554.42 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 79,330.42 | 77,714.65 | 58,374.91 | 93,538.11 | 160,950.92 | 110,739.10 | 117,812.65 | 125,338.03 | 133,344.10 | 141,861.56 |
EBIT | 74,522.16 | 71,848.88 | 52,453.88 | 87,765.21 | 155,287.70 | 103,933.53 | 110,572.37 | 117,635.27 | 125,149.32 | 133,143.33 |
Tax Rate | 14.70% | -57.11% | -288.61% | 29.47% | 13.33% | -57.64% | -57.64% | -57.64% | -57.64% | -57.64% |
EBIAT | 63,566.93 | 112,881.84 | 203,839.21 | 61,904.94 | 134,593.79 | 163,845.92 | 174,311.71 | 185,446.01 | 197,291.52 | 209,893.67 |
Depreciation | 4,808.26 | 5,865.77 | 5,921.03 | 5,772.90 | 5,663.22 | 6,805.57 | 7,240.28 | 7,702.76 | 8,194.78 | 8,718.23 |
Accounts Receivable | - | -6,261.91 | 123.47 | 1,334.56 | -3,307.62 | -1,699.50 | -1,754.37 | -1,866.43 | -1,985.65 | -2,112.49 |
Inventories | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Accounts Payable | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Expenditure | -5,442.59 | -5,325.50 | -4,264.52 | -4,410.11 | -9,412.24 | -6,867.75 | -7,306.43 | -7,773.14 | -8,269.65 | -8,797.88 |
UFCF | 62,932.59 | 107,160.19 | 205,619.19 | 64,602.28 | 127,537.16 | 162,084.24 | 172,491.18 | 183,509.20 | 195,230.99 | 207,701.53 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 124,145.41 | 101,192.10 | 82,456.98 | 67,190.55 | 54,750.61 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 429,735.65 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 30.56 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 211,855.56 |
Terminal Value | 741,791.17 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 195,537.90 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 625,273.55 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 206,242.92 |
Equity Value | 419,030.63 |
Shares Outstanding | 10,677.19 |
Equity Value Per Share | 39.25 |