Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered

Banco Bradesco S.A. (BBDO)

$2.77

+0.06 (+2.05%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 39.25 | 2.77 | undervalue

Operating Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 88,790.7599,281.0282,368.59102,428.58109,001.11115,963.64123,370.91131,251.33139,635.11148,554.42
Revenue (%)
EBITDA 79,330.4277,714.6558,374.9193,538.11160,950.92110,739.10117,812.65125,338.03133,344.10141,861.56
EBITDA (%)
EBIT 74,522.1671,848.8852,453.8887,765.21155,287.70103,933.53110,572.37117,635.27125,149.32133,143.33
EBIT (%)
Depreciation 4,808.265,865.775,921.035,772.905,663.226,805.577,240.287,702.768,194.788,718.23
Depreciation (%)

Balance Sheet Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Total Cash 285,260.28320,756.11311,934.07321,937.22358,572.13386,465.69411,151.49437,414.12465,354.30495,079.18
Total Cash (%)
Account Receivables 17,654.3723,916.2823,792.8122,458.2525,765.8727,465.3729,219.7431,086.1733,071.8335,184.32
Account Receivables (%)
Inventories ----------
Inventories (%)
Accounts Payable ----------
Accounts Payable (%)
Capital Expenditure -5,442.59-5,325.50-4,264.52-4,410.11-9,412.24-6,867.75-7,306.43-7,773.14-8,269.65-8,797.88
Capital Expenditure (%)

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 2.77
Beta 0.595
Diluted Shares Outstanding 10,677.19
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 13.33
After-tax Cost of Debt 32.59%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 6.619
Total Debt 349,226.77
Total Equity 29,575.83
Total Capital 378,802.60
Debt Weighting 92.19
Equity Weighting 7.81
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 88,790.7599,281.0282,368.59102,428.58109,001.11115,963.64123,370.91131,251.33139,635.11148,554.42
EBITDA 79,330.4277,714.6558,374.9193,538.11160,950.92110,739.10117,812.65125,338.03133,344.10141,861.56
EBIT 74,522.1671,848.8852,453.8887,765.21155,287.70103,933.53110,572.37117,635.27125,149.32133,143.33
Tax Rate 14.70%-57.11%-288.61%29.47%13.33%-57.64%-57.64%-57.64%-57.64%-57.64%
EBIAT 63,566.93112,881.84203,839.2161,904.94134,593.79163,845.92174,311.71185,446.01197,291.52209,893.67
Depreciation 4,808.265,865.775,921.035,772.905,663.226,805.577,240.287,702.768,194.788,718.23
Accounts Receivable --6,261.91123.471,334.56-3,307.62-1,699.50-1,754.37-1,866.43-1,985.65-2,112.49
Inventories ----------
Accounts Payable ----------
Capital Expenditure -5,442.59-5,325.50-4,264.52-4,410.11-9,412.24-6,867.75-7,306.43-7,773.14-8,269.65-8,797.88
UFCF 62,932.59107,160.19205,619.1964,602.28127,537.16162,084.24172,491.18183,509.20195,230.99207,701.53
WACC
PV UFCF 124,145.41101,192.1082,456.9867,190.5554,750.61
SUM PV UFCF 429,735.65

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 30.56
Free cash flow (t + 1) 211,855.56
Terminal Value 741,791.17
Present Value of Terminal Value 195,537.90

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 625,273.55
Net Debt 206,242.92
Equity Value 419,030.63
Shares Outstanding 10,677.19
Equity Value Per Share 39.25