Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Coherus BioSciences, Inc. (CHRS)
$2.3
+0.17 (+7.98%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 1.56 | 356.07 | 475.82 | 326.55 | 211.04 | 12,214.39 | 706,926.85 | 40,914,501.57 | 2,367,991,038.87 | 137,051,200,541.18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | -199.72 | 110.38 | 156.87 | -264.14 | -253.06 | -316,905.38 | -18,341,396.42 | -1,061,537,124.55 | -61,438,128,333.78 | -3,555,828,172,042.07 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | -202.96 | 107.12 | 153.99 | -267.59 | -256.76 | -322,090.08 | -18,641,469.26 | -1,078,904,311.70 | -62,443,281,566.81 | -3,614,002,994,096.91 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 3.23 | 3.26 | 2.89 | 3.45 | 3.70 | 5,184.70 | 300,072.84 | 17,367,187.15 | 1,005,153,233.02 | 58,174,822,054.84 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 72.36 | 177.67 | 541.16 | 417.20 | 191.68 | 122,933.90 | 7,114,992.53 | 411,791,367.33 | 23,833,072,143.79 | 1,379,376,482,544.87 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | -1.74 | 141.99 | 157.05 | 123.02 | 109.96 | 1,238.71 | 71,692.53 | 4,149,317.58 | 240,148,272.01 | 13,898,958,419.60 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 1.66 | 55.07 | 92.19 | 93.25 | 115.05 | 5,485.06 | 317,456.48 | 18,373,292.33 | 1,063,383,150.90 | 61,544,970,008.16 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 15.29 | 25.99 | 15.20 | 16.16 | 11.53 | 24,521.78 | 1,419,236.39 | 82,140,535.16 | 4,754,012,482.46 | 275,145,939,074.55 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -0.79 | -12.90 | -7.06 | -1.29 | -2.04 | -1,396.66 | -80,833.92 | -4,678,390.37 | -270,769,190.37 | -15,671,192,163.02 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 2.3 |
---|---|
Beta | 0.865 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 77.63 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | -11.95 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 6.89% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 8.239 |
Total Debt | 471.06 |
Total Equity | 178.55 |
Total Capital | 649.61 |
Debt Weighting | 72.51 |
Equity Weighting | 27.49 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 1.56 | 356.07 | 475.82 | 326.55 | 211.04 | 12,214.39 | 706,926.85 | 40,914,501.57 | 2,367,991,038.87 | 137,051,200,541.18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | -199.72 | 110.38 | 156.87 | -264.14 | -253.06 | -316,905.38 | -18,341,396.42 | -1,061,537,124.55 | -61,438,128,333.78 | -3,555,828,172,042.07 |
EBIT | -202.96 | 107.12 | 153.99 | -267.59 | -256.76 | -322,090.08 | -18,641,469.26 | -1,078,904,311.70 | -62,443,281,566.81 | -3,614,002,994,096.91 |
Tax Rate | 0.03% | 3.17% | 2.55% | -6.70% | -11.95% | -2.58% | -2.58% | -2.58% | -2.58% | -2.58% |
EBIAT | -202.89 | 103.72 | 150.06 | -285.51 | -287.45 | -330,394.91 | -19,122,124.17 | -1,106,722,969.26 | -64,053,330,064.98 | -3,707,187,079,670.92 |
Depreciation | 3.23 | 3.26 | 2.89 | 3.45 | 3.70 | 5,184.70 | 300,072.84 | 17,367,187.15 | 1,005,153,233.02 | 58,174,822,054.84 |
Accounts Receivable | - | -143.73 | -15.05 | 34.02 | 13.06 | -1,128.75 | -70,453.81 | -4,077,625.06 | -235,998,954.43 | -13,658,810,147.59 |
Inventories | - | -53.41 | -37.12 | -1.06 | -21.80 | -5,370.01 | -311,971.42 | -18,055,835.85 | -1,045,009,858.57 | -60,481,586,857.26 |
Accounts Payable | - | 10.69 | -10.78 | 0.96 | -4.63 | 24,510.25 | 1,394,714.61 | 80,721,298.77 | 4,671,871,947.30 | 270,391,926,592.08 |
Capital Expenditure | -0.79 | -12.90 | -7.06 | -1.29 | -2.04 | -1,396.66 | -80,833.92 | -4,678,390.37 | -270,769,190.37 | -15,671,192,163.02 |
UFCF | -200.45 | -92.37 | 82.93 | -249.43 | -299.16 | -308,595.37 | -17,890,595.86 | -1,035,446,334.62 | -59,928,082,888.03 | -3,468,431,920,191.86 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | -287,707.79 | -15,550,674.11 | -839,100,958.54 | -45,277,163,777.25 | -2,443,116,693,941.46 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | -2,489,248,797,059.14 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 7.26 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | -3,537,800,558,595.70 |
Terminal Value | -67,258,565,752,769.96 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | -47,376,027,144,872.36 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | -49,865,275,941,931.51 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 407.51 |
Equity Value | -49,865,275,942,339.02 |
Shares Outstanding | 77.63 |
Equity Value Per Share | -642,345,267,234.75 |