Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered

Coherus BioSciences, Inc. (CHRS)

$2.3

+0.17 (+7.98%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -642,345,267,234.75 | 2.3 | overvalue

Operating Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 1.56356.07475.82326.55211.0412,214.39706,926.8540,914,501.572,367,991,038.87137,051,200,541.18
Revenue (%)
EBITDA -199.72110.38156.87-264.14-253.06-316,905.38-18,341,396.42-1,061,537,124.55-61,438,128,333.78-3,555,828,172,042.07
EBITDA (%)
EBIT -202.96107.12153.99-267.59-256.76-322,090.08-18,641,469.26-1,078,904,311.70-62,443,281,566.81-3,614,002,994,096.91
EBIT (%)
Depreciation 3.233.262.893.453.705,184.70300,072.8417,367,187.151,005,153,233.0258,174,822,054.84
Depreciation (%)

Balance Sheet Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Total Cash 72.36177.67541.16417.20191.68122,933.907,114,992.53411,791,367.3323,833,072,143.791,379,376,482,544.87
Total Cash (%)
Account Receivables -1.74141.99157.05123.02109.961,238.7171,692.534,149,317.58240,148,272.0113,898,958,419.60
Account Receivables (%)
Inventories 1.6655.0792.1993.25115.055,485.06317,456.4818,373,292.331,063,383,150.9061,544,970,008.16
Inventories (%)
Accounts Payable 15.2925.9915.2016.1611.5324,521.781,419,236.3982,140,535.164,754,012,482.46275,145,939,074.55
Accounts Payable (%)
Capital Expenditure -0.79-12.90-7.06-1.29-2.04-1,396.66-80,833.92-4,678,390.37-270,769,190.37-15,671,192,163.02
Capital Expenditure (%)

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 2.3
Beta 0.865
Diluted Shares Outstanding 77.63
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate -11.95
After-tax Cost of Debt 6.89%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 8.239
Total Debt 471.06
Total Equity 178.55
Total Capital 649.61
Debt Weighting 72.51
Equity Weighting 27.49
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 1.56356.07475.82326.55211.0412,214.39706,926.8540,914,501.572,367,991,038.87137,051,200,541.18
EBITDA -199.72110.38156.87-264.14-253.06-316,905.38-18,341,396.42-1,061,537,124.55-61,438,128,333.78-3,555,828,172,042.07
EBIT -202.96107.12153.99-267.59-256.76-322,090.08-18,641,469.26-1,078,904,311.70-62,443,281,566.81-3,614,002,994,096.91
Tax Rate 0.03%3.17%2.55%-6.70%-11.95%-2.58%-2.58%-2.58%-2.58%-2.58%
EBIAT -202.89103.72150.06-285.51-287.45-330,394.91-19,122,124.17-1,106,722,969.26-64,053,330,064.98-3,707,187,079,670.92
Depreciation 3.233.262.893.453.705,184.70300,072.8417,367,187.151,005,153,233.0258,174,822,054.84
Accounts Receivable --143.73-15.0534.0213.06-1,128.75-70,453.81-4,077,625.06-235,998,954.43-13,658,810,147.59
Inventories --53.41-37.12-1.06-21.80-5,370.01-311,971.42-18,055,835.85-1,045,009,858.57-60,481,586,857.26
Accounts Payable -10.69-10.780.96-4.6324,510.251,394,714.6180,721,298.774,671,871,947.30270,391,926,592.08
Capital Expenditure -0.79-12.90-7.06-1.29-2.04-1,396.66-80,833.92-4,678,390.37-270,769,190.37-15,671,192,163.02
UFCF -200.45-92.3782.93-249.43-299.16-308,595.37-17,890,595.86-1,035,446,334.62-59,928,082,888.03-3,468,431,920,191.86
WACC
PV UFCF -287,707.79-15,550,674.11-839,100,958.54-45,277,163,777.25-2,443,116,693,941.46
SUM PV UFCF -2,489,248,797,059.14

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 7.26
Free cash flow (t + 1) -3,537,800,558,595.70
Terminal Value -67,258,565,752,769.96
Present Value of Terminal Value -47,376,027,144,872.36

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value -49,865,275,941,931.51
Net Debt 407.51
Equity Value -49,865,275,942,339.02
Shares Outstanding 77.63
Equity Value Per Share -642,345,267,234.75