Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
capsensixx AG (CPX.DE)
15.7 €
0.00 (0.00%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
Revenue | 116.73 | 115.89 | 112.21 | 110.31 | 179.95 | 205.83 | 235.44 | 269.30 | 308.04 | 352.34 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 5.75 | 4.96 | 7.41 | 6.12 | 6.98 | 10.39 | 11.88 | 13.59 | 15.55 | 17.79 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 4.78 | 3.42 | 4.79 | 4.17 | 5.51 | 7.48 | 8.55 | 9.78 | 11.19 | 12.80 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 0.98 | 1.54 | 2.62 | 1.95 | 1.47 | 2.91 | 3.33 | 3.81 | 4.36 | 4.99 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
Total Cash | 8.96 | 14.70 | 13.37 | 14.37 | 16.84 | 22.50 | 25.74 | 29.44 | 33.67 | 38.52 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 42.52 | 8.98 | 18.82 | 26.31 | 70.58 | 51.05 | 58.40 | 66.79 | 76.40 | 87.39 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -0.38 | -0.14 | -0.61 | -0.71 | -0.74 | -0.85 | -0.97 | -1.11 | -1.27 | -1.45 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 15.7 |
---|---|
Beta | 0.523 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 3.19 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 65.50 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 0.27% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 5.988 |
Total Debt | 5.87 |
Total Equity | 50.05 |
Total Capital | 55.92 |
Debt Weighting | 10.49 |
Equity Weighting | 89.51 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
Revenue | 116.73 | 115.89 | 112.21 | 110.31 | 179.95 | 205.83 | 235.44 | 269.30 | 308.04 | 352.34 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 5.75 | 4.96 | 7.41 | 6.12 | 6.98 | 10.39 | 11.88 | 13.59 | 15.55 | 17.79 |
EBIT | 4.78 | 3.42 | 4.79 | 4.17 | 5.51 | 7.48 | 8.55 | 9.78 | 11.19 | 12.80 |
Tax Rate | 64.96% | 80.01% | 67.32% | 65.32% | 65.50% | 68.62% | 68.62% | 68.62% | 68.62% | 68.62% |
EBIAT | 1.67 | 0.68 | 1.57 | 1.45 | 1.90 | 2.35 | 2.68 | 3.07 | 3.51 | 4.02 |
Depreciation | 0.98 | 1.54 | 2.62 | 1.95 | 1.47 | 2.91 | 3.33 | 3.81 | 4.36 | 4.99 |
Accounts Receivable | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Inventories | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Accounts Payable | - | -33.54 | 9.84 | 7.49 | 44.27 | -19.53 | 7.34 | 8.40 | 9.61 | 10.99 |
Capital Expenditure | -0.38 | -0.14 | -0.61 | -0.71 | -0.74 | -0.85 | -0.97 | -1.11 | -1.27 | -1.45 |
UFCF | 2.27 | -31.46 | 13.41 | 10.17 | 46.90 | -15.12 | 12.39 | 14.18 | 16.21 | 18.55 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | -14.34 | 11.16 | 12.11 | 13.14 | 14.27 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 36.34 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 5.39 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 18.92 |
Terminal Value | 558.06 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 429.22 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 465.56 |
---|---|
Net Debt | -7.74 |
Equity Value | 473.30 |
Shares Outstanding | 3.19 |
Equity Value Per Share | 148.46 |