Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Camping World Holdings, Inc. (CWH)
$20.94
+0.76 (+3.77%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 4,792.02 | 4,892.02 | 5,446.59 | 6,913.75 | 6,967.01 | 7,683.41 | 8,473.47 | 9,344.77 | 10,305.66 | 11,365.36 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 192.15 | 138.39 | 306.45 | 498.02 | 434.11 | 397.99 | 438.92 | 484.05 | 533.82 | 588.72 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 142.83 | 78.46 | 254.47 | 431.60 | 353.81 | 316.21 | 348.73 | 384.58 | 424.13 | 467.74 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 49.32 | 59.93 | 51.98 | 66.42 | 80.30 | 81.78 | 90.19 | 99.47 | 109.69 | 120.97 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 138.56 | 147.52 | 166.07 | 267.33 | 130.13 | 225.75 | 248.96 | 274.56 | 302.79 | 333.93 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 138.92 | 126.79 | 131.60 | 159.38 | 162.76 | 192.83 | 212.66 | 234.53 | 258.64 | 285.24 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 1,558.97 | 1,358.54 | 1,136.34 | 1,792.87 | 2,123.86 | 2,114.21 | 2,331.61 | 2,571.36 | 2,835.77 | 3,127.36 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 144.81 | 106.96 | 148.46 | 136.76 | 127.69 | 180.48 | 199.04 | 219.51 | 242.08 | 266.97 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -254.36 | -88.36 | -85.10 | -253.51 | -211.48 | -236.32 | -260.62 | -287.42 | -316.97 | -349.57 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 20.94 |
---|---|
Beta | 2.644 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 89.76 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 69.58 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 0.95% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 16.084 |
Total Debt | 3,781.51 |
Total Equity | 1,879.62 |
Total Capital | 5,661.13 |
Debt Weighting | 66.80 |
Equity Weighting | 33.20 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 4,792.02 | 4,892.02 | 5,446.59 | 6,913.75 | 6,967.01 | 7,683.41 | 8,473.47 | 9,344.77 | 10,305.66 | 11,365.36 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 192.15 | 138.39 | 306.45 | 498.02 | 434.11 | 397.99 | 438.92 | 484.05 | 533.82 | 588.72 |
EBIT | 142.83 | 78.46 | 254.47 | 431.60 | 353.81 | 316.21 | 348.73 | 384.58 | 424.13 | 467.74 |
Tax Rate | 89.21% | 33.21% | 69.56% | 62.07% | 69.58% | 64.73% | 64.73% | 64.73% | 64.73% | 64.73% |
EBIAT | 15.41 | 52.40 | 77.45 | 163.70 | 107.65 | 111.54 | 123.01 | 135.66 | 149.61 | 164.99 |
Depreciation | 49.32 | 59.93 | 51.98 | 66.42 | 80.30 | 81.78 | 90.19 | 99.47 | 109.69 | 120.97 |
Accounts Receivable | - | 12.13 | -4.80 | -27.79 | -3.38 | -30.07 | -19.83 | -21.87 | -24.12 | -26.60 |
Inventories | - | 200.43 | 222.19 | -656.52 | -330.99 | 9.65 | -217.40 | -239.75 | -264.40 | -291.59 |
Accounts Payable | - | -37.85 | 41.50 | -11.70 | -9.07 | 52.79 | 18.56 | 20.47 | 22.57 | 24.89 |
Capital Expenditure | -254.36 | -88.36 | -85.10 | -253.51 | -211.48 | -236.32 | -260.62 | -287.42 | -316.97 | -349.57 |
UFCF | -189.63 | 198.69 | 303.23 | -719.41 | -366.96 | -10.63 | -266.09 | -293.45 | -323.62 | -356.90 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | -10.03 | -236.95 | -246.59 | -256.63 | -267.07 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | -1,017.28 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 5.97 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | -364.04 |
Terminal Value | -9,169.70 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | -6,861.84 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | -7,879.12 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 3,651.38 |
Equity Value | -11,530.50 |
Shares Outstanding | 89.76 |
Equity Value Per Share | -128.46 |