Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered

Camping World Holdings, Inc. (CWH)

$20.94

+0.76 (+3.77%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -128.46 | 20.94 | overvalue

Operating Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 4,792.024,892.025,446.596,913.756,967.017,683.418,473.479,344.7710,305.6611,365.36
Revenue (%)
EBITDA 192.15138.39306.45498.02434.11397.99438.92484.05533.82588.72
EBITDA (%)
EBIT 142.8378.46254.47431.60353.81316.21348.73384.58424.13467.74
EBIT (%)
Depreciation 49.3259.9351.9866.4280.3081.7890.1999.47109.69120.97
Depreciation (%)

Balance Sheet Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Total Cash 138.56147.52166.07267.33130.13225.75248.96274.56302.79333.93
Total Cash (%)
Account Receivables 138.92126.79131.60159.38162.76192.83212.66234.53258.64285.24
Account Receivables (%)
Inventories 1,558.971,358.541,136.341,792.872,123.862,114.212,331.612,571.362,835.773,127.36
Inventories (%)
Accounts Payable 144.81106.96148.46136.76127.69180.48199.04219.51242.08266.97
Accounts Payable (%)
Capital Expenditure -254.36-88.36-85.10-253.51-211.48-236.32-260.62-287.42-316.97-349.57
Capital Expenditure (%)

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 20.94
Beta 2.644
Diluted Shares Outstanding 89.76
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 69.58
After-tax Cost of Debt 0.95%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 16.084
Total Debt 3,781.51
Total Equity 1,879.62
Total Capital 5,661.13
Debt Weighting 66.80
Equity Weighting 33.20
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 4,792.024,892.025,446.596,913.756,967.017,683.418,473.479,344.7710,305.6611,365.36
EBITDA 192.15138.39306.45498.02434.11397.99438.92484.05533.82588.72
EBIT 142.8378.46254.47431.60353.81316.21348.73384.58424.13467.74
Tax Rate 89.21%33.21%69.56%62.07%69.58%64.73%64.73%64.73%64.73%64.73%
EBIAT 15.4152.4077.45163.70107.65111.54123.01135.66149.61164.99
Depreciation 49.3259.9351.9866.4280.3081.7890.1999.47109.69120.97
Accounts Receivable -12.13-4.80-27.79-3.38-30.07-19.83-21.87-24.12-26.60
Inventories -200.43222.19-656.52-330.999.65-217.40-239.75-264.40-291.59
Accounts Payable --37.8541.50-11.70-9.0752.7918.5620.4722.5724.89
Capital Expenditure -254.36-88.36-85.10-253.51-211.48-236.32-260.62-287.42-316.97-349.57
UFCF -189.63198.69303.23-719.41-366.96-10.63-266.09-293.45-323.62-356.90
WACC
PV UFCF -10.03-236.95-246.59-256.63-267.07
SUM PV UFCF -1,017.28

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 5.97
Free cash flow (t + 1) -364.04
Terminal Value -9,169.70
Present Value of Terminal Value -6,861.84

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value -7,879.12
Net Debt 3,651.38
Equity Value -11,530.50
Shares Outstanding 89.76
Equity Value Per Share -128.46