Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Enbridge Inc. (ENB)
$41.78
+0.98 (+2.40%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
Revenue | 44,378 | 46,378 | 50,069 | 39,087 | 47,071 | 48,360.48 | 49,685.29 | 51,046.38 | 52,444.77 | 53,881.46 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 6,151 | 9,199 | 13,534 | 10,693 | 14,161 | 11,429.25 | 11,742.35 | 12,064.02 | 12,394.51 | 12,734.05 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 2,988 | 5,953 | 10,143 | 6,981 | 10,309 | 7,697.83 | 7,908.71 | 8,125.36 | 8,347.95 | 8,576.64 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 3,163 | 3,246 | 3,391 | 3,712 | 3,852 | 3,731.42 | 3,833.64 | 3,938.66 | 4,046.56 | 4,157.41 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
Total Cash | 480 | 518 | 648 | 452 | 286 | 508.44 | 522.36 | 536.67 | 551.38 | 566.48 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 7,100 | 6,098 | 6,523 | 5,001 | 6,181 | 6,586.81 | 6,767.25 | 6,952.64 | 7,143.10 | 7,338.78 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 1,528 | 1,339 | 1,299 | 1,536 | 1,670 | 1,586.44 | 1,629.90 | 1,674.55 | 1,720.42 | 1,767.55 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 5,135 | 4,604 | 4,536 | 3,497 | 4,470 | 4,739.39 | 4,869.22 | 5,002.61 | 5,139.66 | 5,280.46 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -8,864 | -7,346 | -5,692 | -5,620 | -8,093 | -7,617.06 | -7,825.72 | -8,040.10 | -8,260.36 | -8,486.65 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 41.78 |
---|---|
Beta | 0.906 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 2,020 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 19.92 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 2.87% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 7.402 |
Total Debt | 75,640 |
Total Equity | 84,395.60 |
Total Capital | 160,035.60 |
Debt Weighting | 47.26 |
Equity Weighting | 52.74 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
Revenue | 44,378 | 46,378 | 50,069 | 39,087 | 47,071 | 48,360.48 | 49,685.29 | 51,046.38 | 52,444.77 | 53,881.46 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 6,151 | 9,199 | 13,534 | 10,693 | 14,161 | 11,429.25 | 11,742.35 | 12,064.02 | 12,394.51 | 12,734.05 |
EBIT | 2,988 | 5,953 | 10,143 | 6,981 | 10,309 | 7,697.83 | 7,908.71 | 8,125.36 | 8,347.95 | 8,576.64 |
Tax Rate | -402.46% | 19.27% | 24.29% | 19.74% | 19.92% | -63.85% | -63.85% | -63.85% | -63.85% | -63.85% |
EBIAT | 15,013.52 | 4,805.76 | 7,679.60 | 5,603.13 | 8,254.94 | 12,612.74 | 12,958.26 | 13,313.24 | 13,677.95 | 14,052.65 |
Depreciation | 3,163 | 3,246 | 3,391 | 3,712 | 3,852 | 3,731.42 | 3,833.64 | 3,938.66 | 4,046.56 | 4,157.41 |
Accounts Receivable | - | 1,002 | -425 | 1,522 | -1,180 | -405.81 | -180.44 | -185.38 | -190.46 | -195.68 |
Inventories | - | 189 | 40 | -237 | -134 | 83.56 | -43.46 | -44.65 | -45.87 | -47.13 |
Accounts Payable | - | -531 | -68 | -1,039 | 973 | 269.39 | 129.83 | 133.39 | 137.04 | 140.80 |
Capital Expenditure | -8,864 | -7,346 | -5,692 | -5,620 | -8,093 | -7,617.06 | -7,825.72 | -8,040.10 | -8,260.36 | -8,486.65 |
UFCF | 9,312.52 | 1,365.75 | 4,925.60 | 3,941.13 | 3,672.94 | 8,674.24 | 8,872.10 | 9,115.15 | 9,364.85 | 9,621.40 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 8,240.77 | 8,007.55 | 7,815.80 | 7,628.65 | 7,445.97 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 39,138.75 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 5.26 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 9,813.83 |
Terminal Value | 301,037.59 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 232,972.10 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 272,110.85 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 75,354 |
Equity Value | 196,756.85 |
Shares Outstanding | 2,020 |
Equity Value Per Share | 97.40 |