Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (EPD)
$24.94
-0.18 (-0.72%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 36,534.20 | 32,789.20 | 27,199.70 | 40,806.90 | 58,186 | 67,687.51 | 78,740.58 | 91,598.57 | 106,556.20 | 123,956.36 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 7,079.90 | 7,801.40 | 6,978.10 | 7,863.70 | 8,790 | 13,971.21 | 16,252.64 | 18,906.63 | 21,993.99 | 25,585.52 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 5,288.30 | 5,852.10 | 4,906.20 | 5,990.70 | 6,816 | 10,390.72 | 12,087.47 | 14,061.30 | 16,357.45 | 19,028.55 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 1,791.60 | 1,949.30 | 2,071.90 | 1,873 | 1,974 | 3,580.49 | 4,165.17 | 4,845.32 | 5,636.54 | 6,556.97 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 344.80 | 334.70 | 3,488.90 | 2,819 | 76 | 2,955.27 | 3,437.86 | 3,999.24 | 4,652.30 | 5,412 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 3,662.60 | 4,876.10 | 4,808.20 | 6,967 | 6,964 | 9,694.91 | 11,278.04 | 13,119.70 | 15,262.09 | 17,754.32 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 1,522.10 | 2,091.40 | 3,303.50 | 2,681 | 2,554 | 4,555.27 | 5,299.12 | 6,164.45 | 7,171.07 | 8,342.08 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 1,243 | 1,166.80 | 854.10 | 632 | 743 | 1,749.94 | 2,035.69 | 2,368.11 | 2,754.82 | 3,204.66 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -4,223.20 | -4,531.70 | -3,287.90 | -2,223 | -1,964 | -6,266.68 | -7,290 | -8,480.43 | -9,865.25 | -11,476.20 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 24.94 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.054 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 2,200.40 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 3.63 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 4.24% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 8.477 |
Total Debt | 28,295 |
Total Equity | 54,877.98 |
Total Capital | 83,172.98 |
Debt Weighting | 34.02 |
Equity Weighting | 65.98 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 36,534.20 | 32,789.20 | 27,199.70 | 40,806.90 | 58,186 | 67,687.51 | 78,740.58 | 91,598.57 | 106,556.20 | 123,956.36 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 7,079.90 | 7,801.40 | 6,978.10 | 7,863.70 | 8,790 | 13,971.21 | 16,252.64 | 18,906.63 | 21,993.99 | 25,585.52 |
EBIT | 5,288.30 | 5,852.10 | 4,906.20 | 5,990.70 | 6,816 | 10,390.72 | 12,087.47 | 14,061.30 | 16,357.45 | 19,028.55 |
Tax Rate | 2.94% | 2.99% | -0.38% | 3.89% | 3.63% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% | 2.61% |
EBIAT | 5,132.81 | 5,677.26 | 4,924.72 | 5,757.79 | 6,568.34 | 10,119.06 | 11,771.46 | 13,693.69 | 15,929.81 | 18,531.07 |
Depreciation | 1,791.60 | 1,949.30 | 2,071.90 | 1,873 | 1,974 | 3,580.49 | 4,165.17 | 4,845.32 | 5,636.54 | 6,556.97 |
Accounts Receivable | - | -1,213.50 | 67.90 | -2,158.80 | 3 | -2,730.91 | -1,583.14 | -1,841.65 | -2,142.39 | -2,492.23 |
Inventories | - | -569.30 | -1,212.10 | 622.50 | 127 | -2,001.27 | -743.85 | -865.32 | -1,006.63 | -1,171 |
Accounts Payable | - | -76.20 | -312.70 | -222.10 | 111 | 1,006.94 | 285.76 | 332.42 | 386.70 | 449.85 |
Capital Expenditure | -4,223.20 | -4,531.70 | -3,287.90 | -2,223 | -1,964 | -6,266.68 | -7,290 | -8,480.43 | -9,865.25 | -11,476.20 |
UFCF | 2,701.21 | 1,235.86 | 2,251.82 | 3,649.39 | 6,819.34 | 3,707.63 | 6,605.39 | 7,684.02 | 8,938.79 | 10,398.46 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 3,463.78 | 5,765.09 | 6,265.42 | 6,809.17 | 7,400.11 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 29,703.59 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 7.04 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 10,606.42 |
Terminal Value | 210,444.92 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 149,764.18 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 179,467.77 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 28,219 |
Equity Value | 151,248.77 |
Shares Outstanding | 2,200.40 |
Equity Value Per Share | 68.74 |