Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered

Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (EPD)

$24.94

-0.18 (-0.72%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 68.74 | 24.94 | undervalue

Operating Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 36,534.2032,789.2027,199.7040,806.9058,18667,687.5178,740.5891,598.57106,556.20123,956.36
Revenue (%)
EBITDA 7,079.907,801.406,978.107,863.708,79013,971.2116,252.6418,906.6321,993.9925,585.52
EBITDA (%)
EBIT 5,288.305,852.104,906.205,990.706,81610,390.7212,087.4714,061.3016,357.4519,028.55
EBIT (%)
Depreciation 1,791.601,949.302,071.901,8731,9743,580.494,165.174,845.325,636.546,556.97
Depreciation (%)

Balance Sheet Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Total Cash 344.80334.703,488.902,819762,955.273,437.863,999.244,652.305,412
Total Cash (%)
Account Receivables 3,662.604,876.104,808.206,9676,9649,694.9111,278.0413,119.7015,262.0917,754.32
Account Receivables (%)
Inventories 1,522.102,091.403,303.502,6812,5544,555.275,299.126,164.457,171.078,342.08
Inventories (%)
Accounts Payable 1,2431,166.80854.106327431,749.942,035.692,368.112,754.823,204.66
Accounts Payable (%)
Capital Expenditure -4,223.20-4,531.70-3,287.90-2,223-1,964-6,266.68-7,290-8,480.43-9,865.25-11,476.20
Capital Expenditure (%)

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 24.94
Beta 1.054
Diluted Shares Outstanding 2,200.40
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 3.63
After-tax Cost of Debt 4.24%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 8.477
Total Debt 28,295
Total Equity 54,877.98
Total Capital 83,172.98
Debt Weighting 34.02
Equity Weighting 65.98
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 36,534.2032,789.2027,199.7040,806.9058,18667,687.5178,740.5891,598.57106,556.20123,956.36
EBITDA 7,079.907,801.406,978.107,863.708,79013,971.2116,252.6418,906.6321,993.9925,585.52
EBIT 5,288.305,852.104,906.205,990.706,81610,390.7212,087.4714,061.3016,357.4519,028.55
Tax Rate 2.94%2.99%-0.38%3.89%3.63%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%2.61%
EBIAT 5,132.815,677.264,924.725,757.796,568.3410,119.0611,771.4613,693.6915,929.8118,531.07
Depreciation 1,791.601,949.302,071.901,8731,9743,580.494,165.174,845.325,636.546,556.97
Accounts Receivable --1,213.5067.90-2,158.803-2,730.91-1,583.14-1,841.65-2,142.39-2,492.23
Inventories --569.30-1,212.10622.50127-2,001.27-743.85-865.32-1,006.63-1,171
Accounts Payable --76.20-312.70-222.101111,006.94285.76332.42386.70449.85
Capital Expenditure -4,223.20-4,531.70-3,287.90-2,223-1,964-6,266.68-7,290-8,480.43-9,865.25-11,476.20
UFCF 2,701.211,235.862,251.823,649.396,819.343,707.636,605.397,684.028,938.7910,398.46
WACC
PV UFCF 3,463.785,765.096,265.426,809.177,400.11
SUM PV UFCF 29,703.59

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 7.04
Free cash flow (t + 1) 10,606.42
Terminal Value 210,444.92
Present Value of Terminal Value 149,764.18

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 179,467.77
Net Debt 28,219
Equity Value 151,248.77
Shares Outstanding 2,200.40
Equity Value Per Share 68.74