Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Formula One Group (FWONK)
$71.4
+1.39 (+1.99%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 1,827 | 2,022 | 178 | 2,136 | 16,681 | 87,592.85 | 459,954.90 | 2,415,248.56 | 12,682,603.61 | 66,597,052 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 452 | 247 | -190 | 293 | 1,714 | -8,022.37 | -42,125.93 | -221,205.59 | -1,161,562.76 | -6,099,430.19 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | -8 | -206 | -631 | -104 | 670 | -64,113.16 | -336,661.75 | -1,767,829.42 | -9,282,969.95 | -48,745,387.88 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 460 | 453 | 441 | 397 | 1,044 | 56,090.79 | 294,535.82 | 1,546,623.84 | 8,121,407.19 | 42,645,957.69 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 160 | 587 | 3,849 | 2,074 | 2,246 | 404,803.28 | 2,125,644.37 | 11,161,875.99 | 58,611,627.30 | 307,772,892.09 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 110 | 69 | 823 | 66 | 837 | 84,071.69 | 441,465.07 | 2,318,157.48 | 12,172,772.96 | 63,919,903.12 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 233 | 264 | 22.97 | 275.65 | 2,152.64 | 11,303.65 | 59,356.09 | 311,682.13 | 1,636,660.06 | 8,594,192.39 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -14 | -44 | -21 | -17 | -735 | -3,493.59 | -18,345.02 | -96,330.69 | -505,837.78 | -2,656,182.13 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 71.4 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.086 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 240 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 41.39 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 0.98% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 8.935 |
Total Debt | 16,632 |
Total Equity | 17,136 |
Total Capital | 33,768 |
Debt Weighting | 49.25 |
Equity Weighting | 50.75 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 1,827 | 2,022 | 178 | 2,136 | 16,681 | 87,592.85 | 459,954.90 | 2,415,248.56 | 12,682,603.61 | 66,597,052 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 452 | 247 | -190 | 293 | 1,714 | -8,022.37 | -42,125.93 | -221,205.59 | -1,161,562.76 | -6,099,430.19 |
EBIT | -8 | -206 | -631 | -104 | 670 | -64,113.16 | -336,661.75 | -1,767,829.42 | -9,282,969.95 | -48,745,387.88 |
Tax Rate | 25.00% | 22.44% | 16.95% | -21.02% | 41.39% | 16.95% | 16.95% | 16.95% | 16.95% | 16.95% |
EBIAT | -6 | -159.77 | -524.03 | -125.86 | 392.71 | -53,244.23 | -279,588.39 | -1,468,134.07 | -7,709,253.10 | -40,481,713.81 |
Depreciation | 460 | 453 | 441 | 397 | 1,044 | 56,090.79 | 294,535.82 | 1,546,623.84 | 8,121,407.19 | 42,645,957.69 |
Accounts Receivable | - | 41 | -754 | 757 | -771 | -83,234.69 | -357,393.39 | -1,876,692.41 | -9,854,615.48 | -51,747,130.16 |
Inventories | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Accounts Payable | - | 31 | -241.03 | 252.68 | 1,877 | 9,151.01 | 48,052.44 | 252,326.03 | 1,324,977.94 | 6,957,532.33 |
Capital Expenditure | -14 | -44 | -21 | -17 | -735 | -3,493.59 | -18,345.02 | -96,330.69 | -505,837.78 | -2,656,182.13 |
UFCF | 440 | 321.23 | -1,099.06 | 1,263.82 | 1,807.71 | -74,730.71 | -312,738.53 | -1,642,207.30 | -8,623,321.24 | -45,281,536.09 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | -71,158.55 | -283,555.04 | -1,417,790.09 | -7,089,025.02 | -35,445,497.90 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | -44,307,026.60 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 5.02 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | -46,187,166.81 |
Terminal Value | -1,529,376,384.33 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | -1,197,165,823.15 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | -1,241,472,849.74 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 14,386 |
Equity Value | -1,241,487,235.74 |
Shares Outstanding | 240 |
Equity Value Per Share | -5,172,863.48 |