Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Hasbro, Inc. (HAS)
$53.69
+1.33 (+2.54%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 4,579.65 | 4,720.23 | 5,465.44 | 6,420.40 | 5,856.70 | 6,260.08 | 6,691.25 | 7,152.11 | 7,644.72 | 8,171.25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 573.09 | 962.46 | 1,172.30 | 1,663.70 | 1,221.10 | 1,265.99 | 1,353.18 | 1,446.38 | 1,546 | 1,652.48 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 361.23 | 696.09 | 520.27 | 755 | 433 | 642.37 | 686.61 | 733.90 | 784.45 | 838.48 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 211.86 | 266.37 | 652.03 | 908.70 | 788.10 | 623.62 | 666.57 | 712.48 | 761.55 | 814.01 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 1,182.37 | 4,580.37 | 1,376.48 | 983.40 | 498.60 | 2,151.84 | 2,300.05 | 2,458.47 | 2,627.80 | 2,808.79 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 1,188.05 | 1,410.60 | 1,391.73 | 1,500.40 | 1,132.40 | 1,552.43 | 1,659.36 | 1,773.65 | 1,895.81 | 2,026.38 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 443.38 | 446.11 | 395.63 | 552.10 | 676.80 | 582.52 | 622.64 | 665.53 | 711.36 | 760.36 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 333.52 | 343.93 | 425.50 | 580.20 | 427.30 | 484.37 | 517.73 | 553.39 | 591.50 | 632.24 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -140.43 | -133.64 | -125.75 | -132.70 | -174.20 | -165.76 | -177.18 | -189.38 | -202.43 | -216.37 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 53.69 |
---|---|
Beta | 0.739 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 138.90 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 22.18 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 3.32% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 6.982 |
Total Debt | 4,006.40 |
Total Equity | 7,457.54 |
Total Capital | 11,463.94 |
Debt Weighting | 34.95 |
Equity Weighting | 65.05 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 4,579.65 | 4,720.23 | 5,465.44 | 6,420.40 | 5,856.70 | 6,260.08 | 6,691.25 | 7,152.11 | 7,644.72 | 8,171.25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 573.09 | 962.46 | 1,172.30 | 1,663.70 | 1,221.10 | 1,265.99 | 1,353.18 | 1,446.38 | 1,546 | 1,652.48 |
EBIT | 361.23 | 696.09 | 520.27 | 755 | 433 | 642.37 | 686.61 | 733.90 | 784.45 | 838.48 |
Tax Rate | 18.48% | 12.41% | 30.91% | 26.33% | 22.18% | 22.06% | 22.06% | 22.06% | 22.06% | 22.06% |
EBIAT | 294.48 | 609.69 | 359.46 | 556.23 | 336.96 | 500.65 | 535.13 | 571.99 | 611.39 | 653.50 |
Depreciation | 211.86 | 266.37 | 652.03 | 908.70 | 788.10 | 623.62 | 666.57 | 712.48 | 761.55 | 814.01 |
Accounts Receivable | - | -222.55 | 18.87 | -108.67 | 368 | -420.03 | -106.92 | -114.29 | -122.16 | -130.57 |
Inventories | - | -2.72 | 50.47 | -156.47 | -124.70 | 94.28 | -40.12 | -42.88 | -45.84 | -49 |
Accounts Payable | - | 10.41 | 81.57 | 154.70 | -152.90 | 57.07 | 33.36 | 35.66 | 38.11 | 40.74 |
Capital Expenditure | -140.43 | -133.64 | -125.75 | -132.70 | -174.20 | -165.76 | -177.18 | -189.38 | -202.43 | -216.37 |
UFCF | 365.91 | 527.56 | 1,036.66 | 1,221.79 | 1,041.26 | 689.82 | 910.84 | 973.58 | 1,040.63 | 1,112.31 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 652.62 | 815.25 | 824.41 | 833.68 | 843.04 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 3,969.01 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 5.70 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 1,134.55 |
Terminal Value | 30,663.58 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 23,240.63 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 27,209.64 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 3,507.80 |
Equity Value | 23,701.84 |
Shares Outstanding | 138.90 |
Equity Value Per Share | 170.64 |