Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
HDFC Bank Limited (HDB)
$63.39
-0.03 (-0.05%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 567,757.60 | 667,627.80 | 791,746.40 | 936,662.20 | 1,019,413.70 | 1,180,785.13 | 1,367,701.37 | 1,584,206.13 | 1,834,983.22 | 2,125,457.89 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 706,782 | 885,955.40 | 997,005.70 | 1,045,938.50 | 1,119,674 | 1,427,841.06 | 1,653,865.83 | 1,915,669.92 | 2,218,917.16 | 2,570,167.91 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 697,102.10 | 873,706.60 | 984,205.40 | 1,032,078.30 | 1,102,857.09 | 1,408,273.71 | 1,631,201 | 1,889,417.30 | 2,188,508.79 | 2,534,945.95 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 9,679.90 | 12,248.80 | 12,800.30 | 13,860.20 | 16,816.90 | 19,567.35 | 22,664.82 | 26,252.62 | 30,408.37 | 35,221.96 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 2,941,742 | 3,488,762.30 | 4,133,033.30 | 5,316,832.70 | 5,987,783.80 | 6,418,087.99 | 7,434,060.21 | 8,610,859.08 | 9,973,943.18 | 11,552,801.13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 119,099.10 | 161,283 | 405,517 | 204,362.30 | 230,467.70 | 332,458.98 | 385,086.66 | 446,045.21 | 516,653.40 | 598,438.74 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 254,242.30 | 237,989.40 | 259,302.30 | 346,038 | 365,659.40 | 439,231.01 | 508,760.52 | 589,296.43 | 682,581.04 | 790,632.44 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -9,181.50 | -16,355 | -18,294.30 | -17,806.50 | -26,324.40 | -25,648.70 | -29,708.84 | -34,411.70 | -39,859.01 | -46,168.62 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 63.39 |
---|---|
Beta | 0.714 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 1,835.26 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 25.65 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 19.87% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 6.748 |
Total Debt | 2,186,639 |
Total Equity | 116,337.40 |
Total Capital | 2,302,976.40 |
Debt Weighting | 94.95 |
Equity Weighting | 5.05 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 567,757.60 | 667,627.80 | 791,746.40 | 936,662.20 | 1,019,413.70 | 1,180,785.13 | 1,367,701.37 | 1,584,206.13 | 1,834,983.22 | 2,125,457.89 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 706,782 | 885,955.40 | 997,005.70 | 1,045,938.50 | 1,119,674 | 1,427,841.06 | 1,653,865.83 | 1,915,669.92 | 2,218,917.16 | 2,570,167.91 |
EBIT | 697,102.10 | 873,706.60 | 984,205.40 | 1,032,078.30 | 1,102,857.09 | 1,408,273.71 | 1,631,201 | 1,889,417.30 | 2,188,508.79 | 2,534,945.95 |
Tax Rate | 35.58% | 35.26% | 28.86% | 25.89% | 25.65% | 30.25% | 30.25% | 30.25% | 30.25% | 30.25% |
EBIAT | 449,080.61 | 565,674.52 | 700,186.53 | 764,924.10 | 819,981.27 | 982,336.17 | 1,137,838.29 | 1,317,956.12 | 1,526,586.30 | 1,768,242.27 |
Depreciation | 9,679.90 | 12,248.80 | 12,800.30 | 13,860.20 | 16,816.90 | 19,567.35 | 22,664.82 | 26,252.62 | 30,408.37 | 35,221.96 |
Accounts Receivable | - | -42,183.90 | -244,234 | 201,154.70 | -26,105.41 | -101,991.28 | -52,627.68 | -60,958.55 | -70,608.19 | -81,785.34 |
Inventories | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Accounts Payable | - | -16,252.90 | 21,312.90 | 86,735.70 | 19,621.40 | 73,571.61 | 69,529.51 | 80,535.91 | 93,284.61 | 108,051.40 |
Capital Expenditure | -9,181.50 | -16,355 | -18,294.30 | -17,806.50 | -26,324.40 | -25,648.70 | -29,708.84 | -34,411.70 | -39,859.01 | -46,168.62 |
UFCF | 449,579.01 | 503,131.52 | 471,771.43 | 1,048,868.21 | 803,989.76 | 947,835.16 | 1,147,696.10 | 1,329,374.41 | 1,539,812.08 | 1,783,561.66 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 795,163.72 | 807,745.22 | 784,907.62 | 762,715.72 | 741,151.26 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 3,891,683.55 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 19.20 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 1,819,232.90 |
Terminal Value | 10,576,935.44 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 4,395,199.34 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 8,286,882.88 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 587,418.30 |
Equity Value | 7,699,464.58 |
Shares Outstanding | 1,835.26 |
Equity Value Per Share | 4,195.29 |