Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE)
$14.43
-0.32 (-2.17%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 30,852 | 29,135 | 26,982 | 27,784 | 28,496 | 27,967.40 | 27,448.60 | 26,939.42 | 26,439.70 | 25,949.24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 2,740 | 4,088 | 2,183 | 6,395 | 3,544 | 3,717.24 | 3,648.28 | 3,580.61 | 3,514.18 | 3,449 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 164 | 1,553 | -442 | 3,798 | 1,064 | 1,209.72 | 1,187.28 | 1,165.26 | 1,143.64 | 1,122.43 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 2,576 | 2,535 | 2,625 | 2,597 | 2,480 | 2,507.51 | 2,461 | 2,415.35 | 2,370.54 | 2,326.57 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 4,880 | 3,753 | 6,403 | 3,996 | 4,163 | 4,554.26 | 4,469.78 | 4,386.87 | 4,305.49 | 4,225.62 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 8,611 | 7,911 | 7,180 | 7,911 | 7,623 | 7,657.38 | 7,515.33 | 7,375.92 | 7,239.10 | 7,104.81 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 2,447 | 2,387 | 2,674 | 4,511 | 5,161 | 3,377.45 | 3,314.80 | 3,253.31 | 3,192.96 | 3,133.73 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 6,092 | 5,595 | 5,383 | 7,004 | 8,717 | 6,415.66 | 6,296.65 | 6,179.85 | 6,065.21 | 5,952.70 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -2,956 | -2,856 | -2,383 | -2,502 | -3,122 | -2,694.76 | -2,644.77 | -2,595.71 | -2,547.56 | -2,500.30 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 14.43 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.249 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 1,330 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 0.91 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 1.38% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 9.397 |
Total Debt | 13,484 |
Total Equity | 19,191.90 |
Total Capital | 32,675.90 |
Debt Weighting | 41.27 |
Equity Weighting | 58.73 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 30,852 | 29,135 | 26,982 | 27,784 | 28,496 | 27,967.40 | 27,448.60 | 26,939.42 | 26,439.70 | 25,949.24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 2,740 | 4,088 | 2,183 | 6,395 | 3,544 | 3,717.24 | 3,648.28 | 3,580.61 | 3,514.18 | 3,449 |
EBIT | 164 | 1,553 | -442 | 3,798 | 1,064 | 1,209.72 | 1,187.28 | 1,165.26 | 1,143.64 | 1,122.43 |
Tax Rate | -611.94% | 32.45% | 27.15% | 4.46% | 0.91% | -109.39% | -109.39% | -109.39% | -109.39% | -109.39% |
EBIAT | 1,167.58 | 1,049 | -322 | 3,628.59 | 1,054.28 | 2,533.07 | 2,486.09 | 2,439.97 | 2,394.71 | 2,350.28 |
Depreciation | 2,576 | 2,535 | 2,625 | 2,597 | 2,480 | 2,507.51 | 2,461 | 2,415.35 | 2,370.54 | 2,326.57 |
Accounts Receivable | - | 700 | 731 | -731 | 288 | -34.38 | 142.05 | 139.41 | 136.82 | 134.29 |
Inventories | - | 60 | -287 | -1,837 | -650 | 1,783.55 | 62.65 | 61.49 | 60.35 | 59.23 |
Accounts Payable | - | -497 | -212 | 1,621 | 1,713 | -2,301.34 | -119.01 | -116.80 | -114.64 | -112.51 |
Capital Expenditure | -2,956 | -2,856 | -2,383 | -2,502 | -3,122 | -2,694.76 | -2,644.77 | -2,595.71 | -2,547.56 | -2,500.30 |
UFCF | 787.58 | 991 | 152 | 2,776.59 | 1,763.28 | 1,793.67 | 2,388 | 2,343.70 | 2,300.22 | 2,257.56 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 1,690.70 | 2,121.71 | 1,962.81 | 1,815.82 | 1,679.83 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 9,270.87 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 6.09 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 2,302.71 |
Terminal Value | 56,300.90 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 41,893.15 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 51,164.03 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 9,321 |
Equity Value | 41,843.03 |
Shares Outstanding | 1,330 |
Equity Value Per Share | 31.46 |