Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE)

$14.43

-0.32 (-2.17%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 31.46 | 14.43 | undervalue

Operating Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 30,85229,13526,98227,78428,49627,967.4027,448.6026,939.4226,439.7025,949.24
Revenue (%)
EBITDA 2,7404,0882,1836,3953,5443,717.243,648.283,580.613,514.183,449
EBITDA (%)
EBIT 1641,553-4423,7981,0641,209.721,187.281,165.261,143.641,122.43
EBIT (%)
Depreciation 2,5762,5352,6252,5972,4802,507.512,4612,415.352,370.542,326.57
Depreciation (%)

Balance Sheet Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Total Cash 4,8803,7536,4033,9964,1634,554.264,469.784,386.874,305.494,225.62
Total Cash (%)
Account Receivables 8,6117,9117,1807,9117,6237,657.387,515.337,375.927,239.107,104.81
Account Receivables (%)
Inventories 2,4472,3872,6744,5115,1613,377.453,314.803,253.313,192.963,133.73
Inventories (%)
Accounts Payable 6,0925,5955,3837,0048,7176,415.666,296.656,179.856,065.215,952.70
Accounts Payable (%)
Capital Expenditure -2,956-2,856-2,383-2,502-3,122-2,694.76-2,644.77-2,595.71-2,547.56-2,500.30
Capital Expenditure (%)

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 14.43
Beta 1.249
Diluted Shares Outstanding 1,330
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 0.91
After-tax Cost of Debt 1.38%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 9.397
Total Debt 13,484
Total Equity 19,191.90
Total Capital 32,675.90
Debt Weighting 41.27
Equity Weighting 58.73
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 30,85229,13526,98227,78428,49627,967.4027,448.6026,939.4226,439.7025,949.24
EBITDA 2,7404,0882,1836,3953,5443,717.243,648.283,580.613,514.183,449
EBIT 1641,553-4423,7981,0641,209.721,187.281,165.261,143.641,122.43
Tax Rate -611.94%32.45%27.15%4.46%0.91%-109.39%-109.39%-109.39%-109.39%-109.39%
EBIAT 1,167.581,049-3223,628.591,054.282,533.072,486.092,439.972,394.712,350.28
Depreciation 2,5762,5352,6252,5972,4802,507.512,4612,415.352,370.542,326.57
Accounts Receivable -700731-731288-34.38142.05139.41136.82134.29
Inventories -60-287-1,837-6501,783.5562.6561.4960.3559.23
Accounts Payable --497-2121,6211,713-2,301.34-119.01-116.80-114.64-112.51
Capital Expenditure -2,956-2,856-2,383-2,502-3,122-2,694.76-2,644.77-2,595.71-2,547.56-2,500.30
UFCF 787.589911522,776.591,763.281,793.672,3882,343.702,300.222,257.56
WACC
PV UFCF 1,690.702,121.711,962.811,815.821,679.83
SUM PV UFCF 9,270.87

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 6.09
Free cash flow (t + 1) 2,302.71
Terminal Value 56,300.90
Present Value of Terminal Value 41,893.15

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 51,164.03
Net Debt 9,321
Equity Value 41,843.03
Shares Outstanding 1,330
Equity Value Per Share 31.46