Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered

Proofpoint, Inc. (PFPT)

$175.9

0.00 (0.00%)

All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD

Stock DCF: -140.51 | 175.9 | overvalue

Operating Data

Year A/P	2016 Actual	2017 Actual	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Actual	2021 Projected	2022 Projected	2023 Projected	2024 Projected	2025 Projected
Revenue	375.50	515.29	716.99	888.19	1,050.01	1,360.99	1,764.08	2,286.56	2,963.77	3,841.56
Revenue (%)
EBITDA	-55.13	-26.59	-29.26	-17.49	1.32	-70.14	-90.91	-117.84	-152.74	-197.98
EBITDA (%)
EBIT	-86.68	-68.69	-102.81	-97.82	-94.65	-192.67	-249.73	-323.70	-419.57	-543.83
EBIT (%)
Depreciation	31.55	42.10	73.55	80.33	95.97	122.53	158.82	205.86	266.83	345.85
Depreciation (%)

Balance Sheet Data

Year A/P	2016 Actual	2017 Actual	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Actual	2021 Projected	2022 Projected	2023 Projected	2024 Projected	2025 Projected
Total Cash	396.75	331.60	231.70	890.94	910.28	1,059.75	1,373.62	1,780.45	2,307.77	2,991.26
Total Cash (%)
Account Receivables	72.95	109.33	199.19	265.74	255.39	333.90	432.79	560.97	727.12	942.47
Account Receivables (%)
Inventories	0.60	0.73	0.48	1.25	0.32	1.47	1.90	2.46	3.19	4.14
Inventories (%)
Accounts Payable	15.30	12.27	20.24	16.31	2.23	30.83	39.96	51.80	67.14	87.02
Accounts Payable (%)
Capital Expenditure	-34.41	-46.96	-29.52	-35.19	-72.42	-90.51	-117.32	-152.07	-197.11	-255.49
Capital Expenditure (%)

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price	$ 175.9
Beta	1.199
Diluted Shares Outstanding	57.32
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate	-25.15
After-tax Cost of Debt	4.62%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity	9.154
Total Debt	784.03
Total Equity	10,083.29
Total Capital	10,867.32
Debt Weighting	7.21
Equity Weighting	92.79
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash

Year A/P	2016 Actual	2017 Actual	2018 Actual	2019 Actual	2020 Actual	2021 Projected	2022 Projected	2023 Projected	2024 Projected	2025 Projected
Revenue	375.50	515.29	716.99	888.19	1,050.01	1,360.99	1,764.08	2,286.56	2,963.77	3,841.56
EBITDA	-55.13	-26.59	-29.26	-17.49	1.32	-70.14	-90.91	-117.84	-152.74	-197.98
EBIT	-86.68	-68.69	-102.81	-97.82	-94.65	-192.67	-249.73	-323.70	-419.57	-543.83
Tax Rate	-0.89%	10.55%	11.31%	-18.05%	-25.15%	-4.45%	-4.45%	-4.45%	-4.45%	-4.45%
EBIAT	-87.46	-61.44	-91.18	-115.48	-118.45	-201.24	-260.84	-338.09	-438.22	-568.01
Depreciation	31.55	42.10	73.55	80.33	95.97	122.53	158.82	205.86	266.83	345.85
Accounts Receivable	-	-36.37	-89.87	-66.55	10.35	-78.51	-98.89	-128.18	-166.15	-215.35
Inventories	-	-0.13	0.25	-0.77	0.93	-1.15	-0.43	-0.56	-0.73	-0.95
Accounts Payable	-	-3.03	7.97	-3.93	-14.08	28.60	9.13	11.84	15.34	19.88
Capital Expenditure	-34.41	-46.96	-29.52	-35.19	-72.42	-90.51	-117.32	-152.07	-197.11	-255.49
UFCF	-90.31	-105.83	-128.81	-141.58	-97.70	-220.28	-309.53	-401.21	-520.04	-674.06
WACC
PV UFCF						-202.41	-261.34	-311.26	-370.71	-441.52
SUM PV UFCF										-1,587.25

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%)	8.83
Free cash flow (t + 1)	-687.54
Terminal Value	-10,066.42
Present Value of Terminal Value	-6,593.74

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value	-8,180.99
Net Debt	-126.25
Equity Value	-8,054.74
Shares Outstanding	57.32
Equity Value Per Share	-140.51