Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered

PerkinElmer, Inc. (PKI)

$125.215

+1.45 (+1.17%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 37.08 | 125.215 | overvalue

Operating Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Projected
2021
Projected
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
2028
Projected
Revenue 2,7782,883.672,993.373,107.243,225.443,348.143,475.513,607.723,744.963,887.424,035.30
Revenue (%)
EBITDA 505.70514.60539.54560.06581.37603.49626.44650.27675.01700.69727.34
EBITDA (%)
EBIT 325.11300.57331.16343.76356.84370.41384.50399.13414.31430.07446.43
EBIT (%)
Depreciation 180.59214.02208.38216.30224.53233.07241.94251.14260.70270.62280.91
Depreciation (%)

Balance Sheet Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Projected
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Actual
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
2028
Projected
Total Cash 163.11191.88187.47194.60202209.68217.66225.94234.54243.46252.72
Total Cash (%)
Account Receivables 632.67725.18717.24744.53772.85802.25832.77864.45897.33931.47966.90
Account Receivables (%)
Inventories 338.35356.94367.55381.53396.04411.11426.75442.98459.83477.32495.48
Inventories (%)
Accounts Payable 220.95235.86241.45250.64260.17270.07280.34291.01302.08313.57325.50
Accounts Payable (%)
Capital Expenditure -93.25-81.33-92.45-95.97-99.62-103.41-107.35-111.43-115.67-120.07-124.64
Capital Expenditure (%)

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 125.215
Beta 1.096
Diluted Shares Outstanding 126.43
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 12.68
After-tax Cost of Debt 1.74%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 8.761
Total Debt 4,564.24
Total Equity 15,830.43
Total Capital 20,394.68
Debt Weighting 22.38
Equity Weighting 77.62
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Projected
2021
Projected
2022
Projected
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
2028
Projected
Revenue 2,7782,883.672,993.373,107.243,225.443,348.143,475.513,607.723,744.963,887.424,035.30
EBITDA 505.70514.60539.54560.06581.37603.49626.44650.27675.01700.69727.34
EBIT 325.11300.57331.16343.76356.84370.41384.50399.13414.31430.07446.43
Tax Rate 7.67%4.04%14.08%19.69%26.31%12.68%14.08%14.08%14.08%14.08%14.08%
EBIAT 300.19288.43284.54276.07262.96323.44330.37342.94355.98369.53383.58
Depreciation 180.59214.02208.38216.30224.53233.07241.94251.14260.70270.62280.91
Accounts Receivable --92.527.94-27.28-28.32-29.40-30.52-31.68-32.88-34.14-35.43
Inventories --18.59-10.61-13.98-14.51-15.07-15.64-16.23-16.85-17.49-18.16
Accounts Payable -14.915.609.199.539.9010.2710.6611.0711.4911.93
Capital Expenditure -93.25-81.33-92.45-77.51-99.89-85.63-107.35-111.43-115.67-120.07-124.64
UFCF 387.52324.92403.39364.32354.57418.53429.08445.41462.35479.94498.20
WACC
PV UFCF 463.49390.52354.57390.46373.45361.65350.23339.17328.45
SUM PV UFCF 1,878.99

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 7.19
Free cash flow (t + 1) 508.16
Terminal Value 9,791.12
Present Value of Terminal Value 6,919.28

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 8,798.28
Net Debt 4,109.89
Equity Value 4,688.39
Shares Outstanding 126.43
Equity Value Per Share 37.08