Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Pentair plc (PNR)
$51.35
-1.45 (-2.75%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 2,965.10 | 2,957.20 | 3,017.80 | 3,764.80 | 4,121.80 | 4,492.95 | 4,897.53 | 5,338.53 | 5,819.25 | 6,343.25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 522.70 | 511.60 | 532.60 | 713.80 | 666.50 | 788.13 | 859.10 | 936.45 | 1,020.78 | 1,112.70 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 438.10 | 431.60 | 457.50 | 636.30 | 612.40 | 685.53 | 747.26 | 814.54 | 887.89 | 967.84 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 84.60 | 80 | 75.10 | 77.50 | 54.10 | 102.60 | 111.84 | 121.91 | 132.89 | 144.86 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 74.30 | 82.50 | 82.10 | 94.50 | 108.90 | 118.33 | 128.98 | 140.60 | 153.26 | 167.06 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 524.70 | 543.90 | 417.60 | 583.10 | 531.50 | 703.68 | 767.04 | 836.11 | 911.40 | 993.47 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 387.50 | 377.40 | 420 | 562.90 | 790 | 663.75 | 723.52 | 788.67 | 859.69 | 937.10 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 378.60 | 325.10 | 245.10 | 385.70 | 355 | 455.96 | 497.02 | 541.77 | 590.55 | 643.73 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -48.20 | -58.50 | -62.20 | -60.20 | -85.20 | -83.85 | -91.40 | -99.63 | -108.60 | -118.38 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 51.35 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.090 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 165.60 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 12.24 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 2.34% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 8.645 |
Total Debt | 2,317.30 |
Total Equity | 8,503.56 |
Total Capital | 10,820.86 |
Debt Weighting | 21.42 |
Equity Weighting | 78.58 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 2,965.10 | 2,957.20 | 3,017.80 | 3,764.80 | 4,121.80 | 4,492.95 | 4,897.53 | 5,338.53 | 5,819.25 | 6,343.25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 522.70 | 511.60 | 532.60 | 713.80 | 666.50 | 788.13 | 859.10 | 936.45 | 1,020.78 | 1,112.70 |
EBIT | 438.10 | 431.60 | 457.50 | 636.30 | 612.40 | 685.53 | 747.26 | 814.54 | 887.89 | 967.84 |
Tax Rate | 8.53% | 12.71% | 17.01% | 11.77% | 12.24% | 12.45% | 12.45% | 12.45% | 12.45% | 12.45% |
EBIAT | 400.73 | 376.74 | 379.68 | 561.38 | 537.43 | 600.15 | 654.20 | 713.10 | 777.32 | 847.31 |
Depreciation | 84.60 | 80 | 75.10 | 77.50 | 54.10 | 102.60 | 111.84 | 121.91 | 132.89 | 144.86 |
Accounts Receivable | - | -19.20 | 126.30 | -165.50 | 51.60 | -172.18 | -63.36 | -69.07 | -75.29 | -82.07 |
Inventories | - | 10.10 | -42.60 | -142.90 | -227.10 | 126.25 | -59.77 | -65.15 | -71.02 | -77.41 |
Accounts Payable | - | -53.50 | -80 | 140.60 | -30.70 | 100.96 | 41.06 | 44.75 | 48.78 | 53.18 |
Capital Expenditure | -48.20 | -58.50 | -62.20 | -60.20 | -85.20 | -83.85 | -91.40 | -99.63 | -108.60 | -118.38 |
UFCF | 437.13 | 335.64 | 396.28 | 410.88 | 300.13 | 673.93 | 592.56 | 645.92 | 704.08 | 767.49 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 628.08 | 514.68 | 522.85 | 531.16 | 539.60 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 2,736.38 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 7.30 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 782.83 |
Terminal Value | 14,770.47 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 10,384.74 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 13,121.11 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 2,208.40 |
Equity Value | 10,912.71 |
Shares Outstanding | 165.60 |
Equity Value Per Share | 65.90 |