Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered

Pentair plc (PNR)

$51.35

-1.45 (-2.75%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: 65.90 | 51.35 | undervalue

Operating Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 2,965.102,957.203,017.803,764.804,121.804,492.954,897.535,338.535,819.256,343.25
Revenue (%)
EBITDA 522.70511.60532.60713.80666.50788.13859.10936.451,020.781,112.70
EBITDA (%)
EBIT 438.10431.60457.50636.30612.40685.53747.26814.54887.89967.84
EBIT (%)
Depreciation 84.608075.1077.5054.10102.60111.84121.91132.89144.86
Depreciation (%)

Balance Sheet Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Total Cash 74.3082.5082.1094.50108.90118.33128.98140.60153.26167.06
Total Cash (%)
Account Receivables 524.70543.90417.60583.10531.50703.68767.04836.11911.40993.47
Account Receivables (%)
Inventories 387.50377.40420562.90790663.75723.52788.67859.69937.10
Inventories (%)
Accounts Payable 378.60325.10245.10385.70355455.96497.02541.77590.55643.73
Accounts Payable (%)
Capital Expenditure -48.20-58.50-62.20-60.20-85.20-83.85-91.40-99.63-108.60-118.38
Capital Expenditure (%)

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 51.35
Beta 1.090
Diluted Shares Outstanding 165.60
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 12.24
After-tax Cost of Debt 2.34%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 8.645
Total Debt 2,317.30
Total Equity 8,503.56
Total Capital 10,820.86
Debt Weighting 21.42
Equity Weighting 78.58
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 2,965.102,957.203,017.803,764.804,121.804,492.954,897.535,338.535,819.256,343.25
EBITDA 522.70511.60532.60713.80666.50788.13859.10936.451,020.781,112.70
EBIT 438.10431.60457.50636.30612.40685.53747.26814.54887.89967.84
Tax Rate 8.53%12.71%17.01%11.77%12.24%12.45%12.45%12.45%12.45%12.45%
EBIAT 400.73376.74379.68561.38537.43600.15654.20713.10777.32847.31
Depreciation 84.608075.1077.5054.10102.60111.84121.91132.89144.86
Accounts Receivable --19.20126.30-165.5051.60-172.18-63.36-69.07-75.29-82.07
Inventories -10.10-42.60-142.90-227.10126.25-59.77-65.15-71.02-77.41
Accounts Payable --53.50-80140.60-30.70100.9641.0644.7548.7853.18
Capital Expenditure -48.20-58.50-62.20-60.20-85.20-83.85-91.40-99.63-108.60-118.38
UFCF 437.13335.64396.28410.88300.13673.93592.56645.92704.08767.49
WACC
PV UFCF 628.08514.68522.85531.16539.60
SUM PV UFCF 2,736.38

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 7.30
Free cash flow (t + 1) 782.83
Terminal Value 14,770.47
Present Value of Terminal Value 10,384.74

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value 13,121.11
Net Debt 2,208.40
Equity Value 10,912.71
Shares Outstanding 165.60
Equity Value Per Share 65.90