Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Richardson Electronics, Ltd. (RELL)
$15.1
+0.43 (+2.93%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
| Revenue | 163.21 | 166.65 | 155.90 | 176.94 | 224.62 | 244.89 | 266.99 | 291.09 | 317.36 | 346 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
| EBITDA | 8.78 | -2.60 | 2.55 | 5.81 | 19.26 | 8.48 | 9.25 | 10.08 | 10.99 | 11.98 |
| EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
| EBIT | 5.79 | -5.77 | -0.84 | 2.38 | 15.84 | 3.89 | 4.24 | 4.63 | 5.04 | 5.50 |
| EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
| Depreciation | 2.99 | 3.17 | 3.39 | 3.42 | 3.42 | 4.59 | 5 | 5.45 | 5.95 | 6.48 |
| Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
| Total Cash | 60.46 | 50.02 | 46.53 | 43.32 | 40.50 | 68.29 | 74.45 | 81.17 | 88.49 | 96.48 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
| Account Receivables | 22.89 | 24.30 | 20.20 | 25.10 | 29.88 | 33.82 | 36.87 | 40.20 | 43.82 | 47.78 |
| Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
| Inventories | 50.72 | 53.23 | 57.49 | 63.51 | 80.39 | 84.04 | 91.62 | 99.89 | 108.90 | 118.73 |
| Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
| Accounts Payable | 19.60 | 16.94 | 17.37 | 16.98 | 23.99 | 26.25 | 28.62 | 31.20 | 34.02 | 37.09 |
| Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
| Capital Expenditure | -5.24 | -3.87 | -1.78 | -2.63 | -3.12 | -4.68 | -5.10 | -5.56 | -6.06 | -6.61 |
| Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
| Share price | $ 15.1 |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.528 |
| Diluted Shares Outstanding | 13.90 |
| Cost of Debt | |
| Tax Rate | -13.76 |
| After-tax Cost of Debt | 2.65% |
| Risk-Free Rate | |
| Market Risk Premium | |
| Cost of Equity | 6.295 |
| Total Debt | 3.02 |
| Total Equity | 209.97 |
| Total Capital | 212.99 |
| Debt Weighting | 1.42 |
| Equity Weighting | 98.58 |
| Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
| Revenue | 163.21 | 166.65 | 155.90 | 176.94 | 224.62 | 244.89 | 266.99 | 291.09 | 317.36 | 346 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 8.78 | -2.60 | 2.55 | 5.81 | 19.26 | 8.48 | 9.25 | 10.08 | 10.99 | 11.98 |
| EBIT | 5.79 | -5.77 | -0.84 | 2.38 | 15.84 | 3.89 | 4.24 | 4.63 | 5.04 | 5.50 |
| Tax Rate | 0.98% | -16.11% | -51.40% | 28.29% | -13.76% | -10.40% | -10.40% | -10.40% | -10.40% | -10.40% |
| EBIAT | 5.73 | -6.70 | -1.27 | 1.71 | 18.02 | 4.30 | 4.68 | 5.11 | 5.57 | 6.07 |
| Depreciation | 2.99 | 3.17 | 3.39 | 3.42 | 3.42 | 4.59 | 5 | 5.45 | 5.95 | 6.48 |
| Accounts Receivable | - | -1.40 | 4.10 | -4.90 | -4.78 | -3.94 | -3.05 | -3.33 | -3.63 | -3.96 |
| Inventories | - | -2.51 | -4.26 | -6.02 | -16.88 | -3.65 | -7.58 | -8.27 | -9.01 | -9.83 |
| Accounts Payable | - | -2.66 | 0.43 | -0.39 | 7.01 | 2.26 | 2.37 | 2.58 | 2.82 | 3.07 |
| Capital Expenditure | -5.24 | -3.87 | -1.78 | -2.63 | -3.12 | -4.68 | -5.10 | -5.56 | -6.06 | -6.61 |
| UFCF | 3.49 | -13.98 | 0.61 | -8.81 | 3.67 | -1.11 | -3.68 | -4.01 | -4.37 | -4.77 |
| WACC | ||||||||||
| PV UFCF | -1.05 | -3.26 | -3.35 | -3.43 | -3.52 | |||||
| SUM PV UFCF | -14.61 |
Terminal Value
| Growth in perpetuity method: | |
|---|---|
| Long-term growth rate | |
| WACC (%) | 6.24 |
| Free cash flow (t + 1) | -4.86 |
| Terminal Value | -114.73 |
| Present Value of Terminal Value | -84.77 |
Intrinsic Value
| Enterprise Value | -99.38 |
|---|---|
| Net Debt | -32.47 |
| Equity Value | -66.91 |
| Shares Outstanding | 13.90 |
| Equity Value Per Share | -4.81 |