Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered

TD SYNNEX Corporation (SNX)

$93.89

+1.64 (+1.78%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Stock DCF: -464.98 | 93.89 | overvalue

Operating Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 20,053.7623,757.2924,675.5631,614.1762,343.8185,357.20116,865.67160,005.07219,068.81299,935.14
Revenue (%)
EBITDA 767.341,216.23823.25775.981,513.072,930.084,011.685,492.547,520.0410,295.96
EBITDA (%)
EBIT 542.05844.12481.61624.321,049.712,025.772,773.563,797.385,199.147,118.33
EBIT (%)
Depreciation 225.29372.11341.64151.66463.36904.311,238.121,695.162,320.903,177.63
Depreciation (%)

Balance Sheet Data

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Total Cash 457.27225.531,564.67993.97522.602,313.673,167.734,337.055,938.028,129.96
Total Cash (%)
Account Receivables 3,855.504,295.213,870.799,42910,240.1316,942.1323,196.1031,758.6343,481.9059,532.67
Account Receivables (%)
Inventories 2,518.322,547.222,684.536,642.919,066.6211,901.2516,294.4422,309.3130,544.5041,819.60
Inventories (%)
Accounts Payable 3,025.203,149.443,891.8112,034.9513,988.9817,860.2724,453.1533,479.7045,838.2962,758.88
Accounts Payable (%)
Capital Expenditure -125.30-137.42-197.96-54.89-117.05-404.07-553.23-757.44-1,037.05-1,419.86
Capital Expenditure (%)

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Share price $ 93.89
Beta 1.545
Diluted Shares Outstanding 95.51
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate 21.26
After-tax Cost of Debt 4.27%
Risk-Free Rate
Market Risk Premium
Cost of Equity 11.073
Total Debt 4,103.79
Total Equity 8,967.34
Total Capital 13,071.13
Debt Weighting 31.40
Equity Weighting 68.60
Wacc

Build Up Free Cash

Year
A/P
2018
Actual
2019
Actual
2020
Actual
2021
Actual
2022
Actual
2023
Projected
2024
Projected
2025
Projected
2026
Projected
2027
Projected
Revenue 20,053.7623,757.2924,675.5631,614.1762,343.8185,357.20116,865.67160,005.07219,068.81299,935.14
EBITDA 767.341,216.23823.25775.981,513.072,930.084,011.685,492.547,520.0410,295.96
EBIT 542.05844.12481.61624.321,049.712,025.772,773.563,797.385,199.147,118.33
Tax Rate 34.28%26.12%24.84%15.31%21.26%24.36%24.36%24.36%24.36%24.36%
EBIAT 356.25623.67361.98528.74826.571,532.292,097.922,872.343,932.625,384.30
Depreciation 225.29372.11341.64151.66463.36904.311,238.121,695.162,320.903,177.63
Accounts Receivable --439.72424.43-5,558.21-811.14-6,702-6,253.96-8,562.53-11,723.27-16,050.76
Inventories --28.90-137.31-3,958.38-2,423.70-2,834.63-4,393.19-6,014.88-8,235.19-11,275.10
Accounts Payable -124.25742.378,143.131,954.033,871.296,592.889,026.5512,358.5916,920.59
Capital Expenditure -125.31-137.42-197.97-54.89-117.05-404.07-553.23-757.44-1,037.05-1,419.86
UFCF 456.23513.981,535.15-747.95-107.92-3,632.81-1,271.46-1,740.80-2,383.40-3,263.19
WACC
PV UFCF -3,334.69-1,071.34-1,346.44-1,692.18-2,126.70
SUM PV UFCF -9,571.35

Terminal Value

Growth in perpetuity method:
Long-term growth rate
WACC (%) 8.94
Free cash flow (t + 1) -3,328.46
Terminal Value -47,960.49
Present Value of Terminal Value -31,256.96

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value -40,828.31
Net Debt 3,581.19
Equity Value -44,409.50
Shares Outstanding 95.51
Equity Value Per Share -464.98