Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
TD SYNNEX Corporation (SNX)
$93.89
+1.64 (+1.78%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 20,053.76 | 23,757.29 | 24,675.56 | 31,614.17 | 62,343.81 | 85,357.20 | 116,865.67 | 160,005.07 | 219,068.81 | 299,935.14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 767.34 | 1,216.23 | 823.25 | 775.98 | 1,513.07 | 2,930.08 | 4,011.68 | 5,492.54 | 7,520.04 | 10,295.96 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 542.05 | 844.12 | 481.61 | 624.32 | 1,049.71 | 2,025.77 | 2,773.56 | 3,797.38 | 5,199.14 | 7,118.33 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 225.29 | 372.11 | 341.64 | 151.66 | 463.36 | 904.31 | 1,238.12 | 1,695.16 | 2,320.90 | 3,177.63 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 457.27 | 225.53 | 1,564.67 | 993.97 | 522.60 | 2,313.67 | 3,167.73 | 4,337.05 | 5,938.02 | 8,129.96 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 3,855.50 | 4,295.21 | 3,870.79 | 9,429 | 10,240.13 | 16,942.13 | 23,196.10 | 31,758.63 | 43,481.90 | 59,532.67 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 2,518.32 | 2,547.22 | 2,684.53 | 6,642.91 | 9,066.62 | 11,901.25 | 16,294.44 | 22,309.31 | 30,544.50 | 41,819.60 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 3,025.20 | 3,149.44 | 3,891.81 | 12,034.95 | 13,988.98 | 17,860.27 | 24,453.15 | 33,479.70 | 45,838.29 | 62,758.88 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -125.30 | -137.42 | -197.96 | -54.89 | -117.05 | -404.07 | -553.23 | -757.44 | -1,037.05 | -1,419.86 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 93.89 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.545 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 95.51 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 21.26 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 4.27% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 11.073 |
Total Debt | 4,103.79 |
Total Equity | 8,967.34 |
Total Capital | 13,071.13 |
Debt Weighting | 31.40 |
Equity Weighting | 68.60 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 20,053.76 | 23,757.29 | 24,675.56 | 31,614.17 | 62,343.81 | 85,357.20 | 116,865.67 | 160,005.07 | 219,068.81 | 299,935.14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 767.34 | 1,216.23 | 823.25 | 775.98 | 1,513.07 | 2,930.08 | 4,011.68 | 5,492.54 | 7,520.04 | 10,295.96 |
EBIT | 542.05 | 844.12 | 481.61 | 624.32 | 1,049.71 | 2,025.77 | 2,773.56 | 3,797.38 | 5,199.14 | 7,118.33 |
Tax Rate | 34.28% | 26.12% | 24.84% | 15.31% | 21.26% | 24.36% | 24.36% | 24.36% | 24.36% | 24.36% |
EBIAT | 356.25 | 623.67 | 361.98 | 528.74 | 826.57 | 1,532.29 | 2,097.92 | 2,872.34 | 3,932.62 | 5,384.30 |
Depreciation | 225.29 | 372.11 | 341.64 | 151.66 | 463.36 | 904.31 | 1,238.12 | 1,695.16 | 2,320.90 | 3,177.63 |
Accounts Receivable | - | -439.72 | 424.43 | -5,558.21 | -811.14 | -6,702 | -6,253.96 | -8,562.53 | -11,723.27 | -16,050.76 |
Inventories | - | -28.90 | -137.31 | -3,958.38 | -2,423.70 | -2,834.63 | -4,393.19 | -6,014.88 | -8,235.19 | -11,275.10 |
Accounts Payable | - | 124.25 | 742.37 | 8,143.13 | 1,954.03 | 3,871.29 | 6,592.88 | 9,026.55 | 12,358.59 | 16,920.59 |
Capital Expenditure | -125.31 | -137.42 | -197.97 | -54.89 | -117.05 | -404.07 | -553.23 | -757.44 | -1,037.05 | -1,419.86 |
UFCF | 456.23 | 513.98 | 1,535.15 | -747.95 | -107.92 | -3,632.81 | -1,271.46 | -1,740.80 | -2,383.40 | -3,263.19 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | -3,334.69 | -1,071.34 | -1,346.44 | -1,692.18 | -2,126.70 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | -9,571.35 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 8.94 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | -3,328.46 |
Terminal Value | -47,960.49 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | -31,256.96 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | -40,828.31 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 3,581.19 |
Equity Value | -44,409.50 |
Shares Outstanding | 95.51 |
Equity Value Per Share | -464.98 |