Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. (SSNC)
$58.34
+0.42 (+0.73%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
Revenue | 1,675.30 | 3,421.10 | 4,632.90 | 4,667.90 | 5,051 | 6,927.35 | 9,500.74 | 13,030.09 | 17,870.54 | 24,509.12 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 628.46 | 923.70 | 1,716.50 | 1,747 | 1,905.40 | 2,448.30 | 3,357.80 | 4,605.16 | 6,315.90 | 8,662.14 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 391.27 | 405.20 | 941.30 | 1,021.70 | 1,238 | 1,412 | 1,936.53 | 2,655.92 | 3,642.55 | 4,995.69 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 237.19 | 518.50 | 775.20 | 725.30 | 667.40 | 1,036.30 | 1,421.27 | 1,949.24 | 2,673.35 | 3,666.45 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
Total Cash | 64.06 | 166.70 | 152.80 | 392.30 | 564 | 437.32 | 599.78 | 822.58 | 1,128.16 | 1,547.25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 243.90 | 1,714.90 | 2,419.60 | 1,895.80 | 3,496.50 | 3,141.55 | 4,308.58 | 5,909.14 | 8,104.28 | 11,114.87 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 27.09 | 41.40 | 36.90 | 28.10 | 28.70 | 66.41 | 91.09 | 124.92 | 171.33 | 234.98 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -45.97 | -89.10 | -130.40 | -106.40 | -136.60 | -182.15 | -249.81 | -342.62 | -469.89 | -644.45 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 58.34 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.374 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 266.60 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 22.85 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 2.50% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 9.978 |
Total Debt | 6,217.10 |
Total Equity | 15,553.44 |
Total Capital | 21,770.54 |
Debt Weighting | 28.56 |
Equity Weighting | 71.44 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2017 Actual | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Projected | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected |
Revenue | 1,675.30 | 3,421.10 | 4,632.90 | 4,667.90 | 5,051 | 6,927.35 | 9,500.74 | 13,030.09 | 17,870.54 | 24,509.12 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 628.46 | 923.70 | 1,716.50 | 1,747 | 1,905.40 | 2,448.30 | 3,357.80 | 4,605.16 | 6,315.90 | 8,662.14 |
EBIT | 391.27 | 405.20 | 941.30 | 1,021.70 | 1,238 | 1,412 | 1,936.53 | 2,655.92 | 3,642.55 | 4,995.69 |
Tax Rate | -16.36% | 17.51% | 17.53% | 19.41% | 22.85% | 12.19% | 12.19% | 12.19% | 12.19% | 12.19% |
EBIAT | 455.27 | 334.27 | 776.30 | 823.37 | 955.06 | 1,239.90 | 1,700.50 | 2,332.20 | 3,198.57 | 4,386.79 |
Depreciation | 237.19 | 518.50 | 775.20 | 725.30 | 667.40 | 1,036.30 | 1,421.27 | 1,949.24 | 2,673.35 | 3,666.45 |
Accounts Receivable | - | -1,471 | -704.70 | 523.80 | -1,600.70 | 354.95 | -1,167.03 | -1,600.56 | -2,195.14 | -3,010.59 |
Inventories | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Accounts Payable | - | 14.31 | -4.50 | -8.80 | 0.60 | 37.71 | 24.67 | 33.84 | 46.41 | 63.65 |
Capital Expenditure | -45.97 | -89.10 | -130.40 | -106.40 | -136.60 | -182.15 | -249.81 | -342.62 | -469.89 | -644.45 |
UFCF | 646.49 | -693.02 | 711.90 | 1,957.27 | -114.24 | 2,486.71 | 1,729.59 | 2,372.11 | 3,253.30 | 4,461.84 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 2,305.93 | 1,487.25 | 1,891.45 | 2,405.50 | 3,059.25 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 11,149.38 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 7.84 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 4,551.08 |
Terminal Value | 77,929.47 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 53,432.11 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 64,581.49 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 5,653.10 |
Equity Value | 58,928.39 |
Shares Outstanding | 266.60 |
Equity Value Per Share | 221.04 |