Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Tapestry, Inc. (TPR)
$28.675
+0.52 (+1.83%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Actual | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected | 2028 Projected |
Revenue | 6,027.10 | 4,961.40 | 5,746.30 | 6,684.50 | 6,660.90 | 6,895.90 | 7,139.19 | 7,391.07 | 7,651.83 | 7,921.80 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 814.10 | -564.10 | 1,187.40 | 1,354.70 | 1,352.90 | 874.11 | 904.94 | 936.87 | 969.93 | 1,004.15 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 545.90 | -812.40 | 968.70 | 1,159.40 | 1,170.70 | 613.20 | 634.83 | 657.23 | 680.42 | 704.42 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 268.20 | 248.30 | 218.70 | 195.30 | 182.20 | 260.91 | 270.11 | 279.64 | 289.51 | 299.72 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Actual | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected | 2028 Projected |
Total Cash | 1,233.80 | 1,434.40 | 2,015.80 | 953.20 | 741.50 | 1,515.08 | 1,568.54 | 1,623.88 | 1,681.17 | 1,740.48 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 298.10 | 193.30 | 200.20 | 252.30 | 211.50 | 265.85 | 275.23 | 284.94 | 294.99 | 305.40 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 778.30 | 736.90 | 734.80 | 994.20 | 919.50 | 954.82 | 988.51 | 1,023.38 | 1,059.49 | 1,096.87 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 243.60 | 130.80 | 445.20 | 520.70 | 416.90 | 392.71 | 406.57 | 420.91 | 435.76 | 451.13 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -274.20 | -205.40 | -116 | -93.90 | -184.20 | -205.20 | -212.44 | -219.93 | -227.69 | -235.72 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 28.675 |
---|---|
Beta | 1.507 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 241.30 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 18.12 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 0.69% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 11.641 |
Total Debt | 3,292 |
Total Equity | 6,919.28 |
Total Capital | 10,211.28 |
Debt Weighting | 32.24 |
Equity Weighting | 67.76 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Actual | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected | 2028 Projected |
Revenue | 6,027.10 | 4,961.40 | 5,746.30 | 6,684.50 | 6,660.90 | 6,895.90 | 7,139.19 | 7,391.07 | 7,651.83 | 7,921.80 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 814.10 | -564.10 | 1,187.40 | 1,354.70 | 1,352.90 | 874.11 | 904.94 | 936.87 | 969.93 | 1,004.15 |
EBIT | 545.90 | -812.40 | 968.70 | 1,159.40 | 1,170.70 | 613.20 | 634.83 | 657.23 | 680.42 | 704.42 |
Tax Rate | 16.03% | -4.47% | 7.03% | 18.21% | 18.12% | 10.98% | 10.98% | 10.98% | 10.98% | 10.98% |
EBIAT | 458.41 | -848.71 | 900.58 | 948.23 | 958.60 | 545.84 | 565.10 | 585.04 | 605.68 | 627.05 |
Depreciation | 268.20 | 248.30 | 218.70 | 195.30 | 182.20 | 260.91 | 270.11 | 279.64 | 289.51 | 299.72 |
Accounts Receivable | - | 104.80 | -6.90 | -52.10 | 40.80 | -54.35 | -9.38 | -9.71 | -10.05 | -10.41 |
Inventories | - | 41.40 | 2.10 | -259.40 | 74.70 | -35.32 | -33.69 | -34.88 | -36.11 | -37.38 |
Accounts Payable | - | -112.80 | 314.40 | 75.50 | -103.80 | -24.19 | 13.86 | 14.34 | 14.85 | 15.37 |
Capital Expenditure | -274.20 | -205.40 | -116 | -93.90 | -184.20 | -205.20 | -212.44 | -219.93 | -227.69 | -235.72 |
UFCF | 452.41 | -772.41 | 1,312.88 | 813.63 | 968.30 | 487.70 | 593.57 | 614.51 | 636.19 | 658.63 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 451.11 | 507.85 | 486.33 | 465.72 | 445.98 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 2,356.99 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 8.11 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 671.80 |
Terminal Value | 10,995.17 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 7,445.14 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 9,802.12 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 2,565.90 |
Equity Value | 7,236.22 |
Shares Outstanding | 241.30 |
Equity Value Per Share | 29.99 |