Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis Unlevered
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ)
$37.43
+0.64 (+1.74%)
All numbers are in Millions, Currency in USD
Operating Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 130,863 | 131,868 | 128,292 | 133,613 | 136,835 | 138,413.80 | 140,010.81 | 141,626.25 | 143,260.33 | 144,913.27 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (%) | ||||||||||
EBITDA | 41,348 | 43,622 | 44,387 | 48,558 | 48,491 | 47,352.66 | 47,899.02 | 48,451.68 | 49,010.71 | 49,576.19 |
EBITDA (%) | ||||||||||
EBIT | 23,945 | 26,940 | 27,667 | 32,352 | 31,392 | 29,744.47 | 30,087.66 | 30,434.81 | 30,785.97 | 31,141.18 |
EBIT (%) | ||||||||||
Depreciation | 17,403 | 16,682 | 16,720 | 16,206 | 17,099 | 17,608.19 | 17,811.36 | 18,016.86 | 18,224.74 | 18,435.02 |
Depreciation (%) |
Balance Sheet Data
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Total Cash | 2,745 | 2,594 | 22,171 | 2,921 | 2,605 | 7,041.48 | 7,122.72 | 7,204.90 | 7,288.03 | 7,372.12 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Cash (%) | ||||||||||
Account Receivables | 25,102 | 25,429 | 23,917 | 23,846 | 24,506 | 25,707.44 | 26,004.05 | 26,304.08 | 26,607.58 | 26,914.57 |
Account Receivables (%) | ||||||||||
Inventories | 1,336 | 1,422 | 1,796 | 3,055 | 2,388 | 2,084.74 | 2,108.79 | 2,133.12 | 2,157.74 | 2,182.63 |
Inventories (%) | ||||||||||
Accounts Payable | 7,232 | 7,725 | 6,667 | 8,040 | 7,730.71 | 7,819.91 | 7,910.13 | 8,001.40 | 8,093.72 | 8,187.11 |
Accounts Payable (%) | ||||||||||
Capital Expenditure | -18,087 | -18,837 | -20,318 | -67,882 | -26,740 | -31,638.65 | -32,003.70 | -32,372.96 | -32,746.47 | -33,124.30 |
Capital Expenditure (%) |
Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
Share price | $ 37.43 |
---|---|
Beta | 0.335 |
Diluted Shares Outstanding | 4,150 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | 24.81 |
After-tax Cost of Debt | 1.54% |
Risk-Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Cost of Equity | 5.064 |
Total Debt | 176,331 |
Total Equity | 155,334.50 |
Total Capital | 331,665.50 |
Debt Weighting | 53.17 |
Equity Weighting | 46.83 |
Wacc |
Build Up Free Cash
Year A/P | 2018 Actual | 2019 Actual | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Projected | 2024 Projected | 2025 Projected | 2026 Projected | 2027 Projected |
Revenue | 130,863 | 131,868 | 128,292 | 133,613 | 136,835 | 138,413.80 | 140,010.81 | 141,626.25 | 143,260.33 | 144,913.27 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EBITDA | 41,348 | 43,622 | 44,387 | 48,558 | 48,491 | 47,352.66 | 47,899.02 | 48,451.68 | 49,010.71 | 49,576.19 |
EBIT | 23,945 | 26,940 | 27,667 | 32,352 | 31,392 | 29,744.47 | 30,087.66 | 30,434.81 | 30,785.97 | 31,141.18 |
Tax Rate | 20.87% | 15.26% | 25.73% | 25.00% | 24.81% | 22.33% | 22.33% | 22.33% | 22.33% | 22.33% |
EBIAT | 18,948.07 | 22,830.21 | 20,549.10 | 24,264 | 23,602.57 | 23,101.69 | 23,368.23 | 23,637.86 | 23,910.59 | 24,186.47 |
Depreciation | 17,403 | 16,682 | 16,720 | 16,206 | 17,099 | 17,608.19 | 17,811.36 | 18,016.86 | 18,224.74 | 18,435.02 |
Accounts Receivable | - | -327 | 1,512 | 71 | -660 | -1,201.44 | -296.61 | -300.03 | -303.50 | -307 |
Inventories | - | -86 | -374 | -1,259 | 667 | 303.26 | -24.05 | -24.33 | -24.61 | -24.90 |
Accounts Payable | - | 493 | -1,058 | 1,373 | -309.29 | 89.20 | 90.23 | 91.27 | 92.32 | 93.39 |
Capital Expenditure | -18,087 | -18,837 | -20,318 | -67,882 | -26,740 | -31,638.65 | -32,003.70 | -32,372.96 | -32,746.47 | -33,124.30 |
UFCF | 18,264.07 | 20,755.21 | 17,031.10 | -27,227 | 13,659.28 | 8,262.25 | 8,945.45 | 9,048.66 | 9,153.07 | 9,258.68 |
WACC | ||||||||||
PV UFCF | 8,006.83 | 8,400.92 | 8,235.15 | 8,072.65 | 7,913.36 | |||||
SUM PV UFCF | 40,628.92 |
Terminal Value
Growth in perpetuity method: | |
---|---|
Long-term growth rate | |
WACC (%) | 3.19 |
Free cash flow (t + 1) | 9,443.85 |
Terminal Value | 793,600.75 |
Present Value of Terminal Value | 678,287.80 |
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value | 718,916.72 |
---|---|
Net Debt | 173,726 |
Equity Value | 545,190.72 |
Shares Outstanding | 4,150 |
Equity Value Per Share | 131.37 |