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SPOT - Spotify Technology S...

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Spotify Technology S.A.

SPOT

NYSE

Spotify Technology S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides audio streaming services worldwide. It operates through Premium and Ad-Supported segments. The Premium segment offers unlimited online and offline streaming access to its catalog of music and podcasts without commercial breaks to its subscribers. The Ad-Supported segment provides on-demand online access to its catalog of music and unlimited online access to the catalog of podcasts to its subscribers on their computers, tablets, and compatible mobile devices. The company also offers sales, marketing, contract research and development, and customer support services. As of December 31, 2021, its platform included 406 million monthly active users and 180 million premium subscribers in 184 countries and territories. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

644 USD

41.74 (6.48%)

Operating Data

Year

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

Revenue

8.9B

10.92B

13.25B

14.97B

17.71B

21.04B

25B

29.7B

35.29B

41.93B

Revenue %

-

22.69

21.3

12.96

18.31

18.82

18.82

18.82

18.82

Ebitda

-331.01M

527.58M

-320.84M

-336.66M

1.69B

252.39M

299.88M

356.31M

423.35M

503.01M

Ebitda %

-3.72

4.83

-2.42

-2.25

9.56

1.2

1.2

1.2

1.2

Ebit

-447.84M

378.38M

-510.55M

-515.16M

1.56B

-3.22M

-3.82M

-4.54M

-5.4M

-6.41M

Ebit %

-5.03

3.46

-3.85

-3.44

8.79

-0.02

-0.02

-0.02

-0.02

Depreciation

116.83M

149.2M

189.7M

178.5M

136.7M

255.61M

303.71M

360.85M

428.75M

509.42M

Depreciation %

1.31

1.37

1.43

1.19

0.77

1.22

1.22

1.22

1.22

Balance Sheet

Year

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

Total Cash

1.97B

3.95B

3.78B

4.49B

8.41B

6.92B

8.22B

9.77B

11.61B

13.79B

Total Cash %

22.17

36.2

28.57

29.99

47.52

32.89

32.89

32.89

32.89

Receivables

360.38M

707.21M

567.12M

680.1M

902.65M

1.03B

1.22B

1.45B

1.73B

2.05B

Receivables %

4.05

6.47

4.28

4.54

5.1

4.89

4.89

4.89

4.89

Inventories

-

-

135.57M

-

-

43.05M

51.16M

60.78M

72.22M

85.81M

Inventories %

-

-

1.02

-

-

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

Payable

490.3M

603.27M

664.28M

747.88M

1.05B

1.14B

1.35B

1.6B

1.91B

2.26B

Payable %

5.51

5.52

5.01

5

5.95

5.4

5.4

5.4

5.4

Cap Ex

-88.12M

-96.03M

-28.24M

-6.78M

-19.21M

-94.08M

-111.78M

-132.81M

-157.8M

-187.5M

Cap Ex %

-0.99

-0.88

-0.21

-0.05

-0.11

-0.45

-0.45

-0.45

-0.45

Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

Price

644

Beta

Diluted Shares Outstanding

206.99M

Costof Debt

3.92

Tax Rate

After Tax Cost Of Debt

3.33

Risk Free Rate

Market Risk Premium

Cost Of Equity

Total Debt

2.26B

Total Equity

133.3B

Total Capital

135.56B

Debt Weighting

1.67

Equity Weighting

98.33

Wacc

12.04

Build Up Free Cash Flow

Year

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

Revenue

8.9B

10.92B

13.25B

14.97B

17.71B

21.04B

25B

29.7B

35.29B

41.93B

Ebitda

-331.01M

527.58M

-320.84M

-336.66M

1.69B

252.39M

299.88M

356.31M

423.35M

503.01M

Ebit

-447.84M

378.38M

-510.55M

-515.16M

1.56B

-3.22M

-3.82M

-4.54M

-5.4M

-6.41M

Tax Rate

15.14

15.14

15.14

15.14

15.14

15.14

15.14

15.14

15.14

15.14

Ebiat

-366.99M

-51.67M

-593.34M

-542.7M

1.32B

-2.36M

-2.8M

-3.33M

-3.96M

-4.7M

Depreciation

116.83M

149.2M

189.7M

178.5M

136.7M

255.61M

303.71M

360.85M

428.75M

509.42M

Receivables

360.38M

707.21M

567.12M

680.1M

902.65M

1.03B

1.22B

1.45B

1.73B

2.05B

Inventories

-

-

135.57M

-

-

43.05M

51.16M

60.78M

72.22M

85.81M

Payable

490.3M

603.27M

664.28M

747.88M

1.05B

1.14B

1.35B

1.6B

1.91B

2.26B

Cap Ex

-88.12M

-96.03M

-28.24M

-6.78M

-19.21M

-94.08M

-111.78M

-132.81M

-157.8M

-187.5M

Ufcf

-208.36M

-232.35M

-366.35M

-264.79M

1.52B

71.99M

201.2M

239.06M

284.04M

337.48M

Wacc

12.04

12.04

12.04

12.04

12.04

Pv Ufcf

64.25M

160.28M

169.97M

180.25M

191.15M

Sum Pv Ufcf

765.94M

Terminal Value

Growth In Perpetuity Method

Long Term Growth Rate

Wacc

12.04

Free Cash Flow T1

350.98M

Terminal Value

4.37B

Present Terminal Value

2.47B

Intrinsic Value

Enterprise Value

3.24B

Net Debt

-3.14B

Equity Value

6.38B

Diluted Shares Outstanding

206.99M

Equity Value Per Share

30.82

Projected DCF

30.82 -19.896%

DCF Levered

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